Skip to main content
ABS Observatory
Live FeedUmpire StatsTeam StatsArticlesAbout

Game 823649

Pittsburgh Pirates at New York Mets

Citi Field

Mar 26, 5:15 PM UTC

Pittsburgh Pirates Logo
New York Mets Logo
Final
Status: Complete
Matchup123456789RHEABS
Pittsburgh Pirates Logo
PIT
2010110027101
Challenges remaining: 2
New York Mets Logo
NYM
50013200—11110
Challenges remaining: 1

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Debrief generated Mar 29, 8:48 PM

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

NYM
PIT

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

NYM3PIT0
3
0

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

Mixed ConfidenceNYM67%PITN/A

One club has a trusted modeled read here while the other side is still below confidence threshold, so compare the available value carefully.

67%
N/A

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

Mixed ConfidenceNYM0%PITN/A

One club has a trusted modeled read here while the other side is still below confidence threshold, so compare the available value carefully.

0%
N/A

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

3 reviewed pitches so far • 2 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs LHB

RHP vs RHB

50%

2 reviews

ELI 45.0

RHP vs LHB

100%

1 review

ELI 34.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Sinker

1 reviews • 100% overturned

Most Active Lane

Top-R

2 reviews • 100% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Top3 • New York Mets

Called Strike

Low Pressure • ELI 34

Overturned +34

Count Shift

Walk → Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 2-5

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Challenge • +0.29% EV

Scenario Swing Index+34
Less Than 2 OutsFull Count

Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.

Bot8 • New York Mets

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 42

Confirmed -15

Count Shift

Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 5-11

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Challenge • +0.72% EV

Scenario Swing Index-15
Less Than 2 Outs

Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.

Top9 • New York Mets

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 48

Overturned +35

Count Shift

1-0 → 0-1

Base / Score

Runner on 2nd • 7-11

Count Edge

+0.2 pts

Decision Read

Hold • -3.02% EV

Scenario Swing Index+35
RISPLess Than 2 Outs
OVR 53%EV -3.02%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.2 ptsBB +0.0 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Narrative Intelligence

Game Debrief

Narrative readout of how the review battle unfolded after the charts have established which club actually captured the value.

The New York Mets secured an 11-7 victory over the Pittsburgh Pirates at Citi Field, with the game’s ABS narrative strongly shaped by call challenges favoring the home side. The Mets’ ability to successfully overturn two out of their three challenges contributed directly to their offensive momentum, particularly through the adjustments to Francisco Alvarez’s at-bats. These overturns, which changed counts on key pitches in both the third and ninth innings, showcased the ABS system's influence on tightening the strike zone calls for the Mets, reinforcing their offensive opportunities.

The overturn in the bottom of the third inning at a 4-2 count for Alvarez reset the count back to an even 3-3, providing a pivotal moment in his plate appearance as the Mets held a 5-2 lead. Later, the second overturned call in the ninth inning again adjusted Alvarez’s count from 1-0 to 0-1 with New York ahead 11-7, subtly shifting the hitter’s advantage in the closing stages of the game. The only challenge not overturned involved Marcus Semien in the eighth, with a 0-3 called strike being confirmed, illustrating that not all close calls benefitted the home team’s narrative.

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Zone Mode
CFM0-3SliderBB

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)
Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)
ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)
Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Marcus Semien vs Dennis Santana

Count Transition

Strikeout

Result

Call Confirmed

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Bases Empty

Bot 8 • 5-11 • 1 out

Home offense batting

Estimated Leverage

42

Pitch

Slider

Velocity

86.0 MPH

Location

0.22 x, 3.30 z

Count Before

Strikeout

Baseball Consequence

Review held the count at Strikeout.

Comparable game states move run expectancy by +0.000 from this review state.

Decision Read

Model favored a challenge

53% overturn probability and +0.72% expected value at challenge time.

Overall, the plate umpire’s performance yielded two overturned calls out of three challenges, indicating a moderate degree of inconsistency in strike zone judgments. While the ABS data captures pitch location evidence for all challenges, two relied on inferred coordinates, suggesting restraint in interpreting precise zone boundaries is warranted. Still, the Mets’ success in converting challenges without late-and-close situations points to a game where ABS review helped reinforce the home team’s edge steadily rather than in crisis moments.

Debrief quality