Game 823696

Kansas City Royals at Minnesota Twins

Target Field

Jun 7, 2:10 PM EDT

Final

Status: Complete

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MIN

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Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
KC	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	1	0	6	9	2	Challenges remaining: 0
MIN	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	5	8	0	Challenges remaining: 0

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

MIN

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

MIN4KC4

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

MIN50%KC50%

50%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

MIN0%KC0%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

8 reviewed pitches so far • 4 overturned

Highest Risk Split

LHP vs RHB

RHP vs RHB

25%

4 reviews

ELI 53.5

LHP vs RHB

100%

2 reviews

ELI 54.5

LHP vs SHB

100%

1 review

ELI 46.0

RHP vs SHB

1 review

ELI 42.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Changeup

3 reviews • 100% overturned

Most Active Lane

Bot-R

2 reviews • 50% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Bot3 • Kansas City Royals

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 47

Overturned +21

Count Shift

Walk → 3-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 0-1

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.01% EV

Scenario Swing Index+21

Less Than 2 Outs

Bot3 • Kansas City Royals

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 46

Overturned +21

Count Shift

2-0 → 1-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 0-1

Count Edge

-1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +1.13% EV

Scenario Swing Index+21

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 63%EV +1.13%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot4 • Minnesota Twins

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 62

Overturned +28

Count Shift

Strikeout → 3-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • Tie 1-1

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.22% EV

Scenario Swing Index+28

Two OutsTie Game

Top5 • Minnesota Twins

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 56

Overturned +25

Count Shift

2-0 → 1-1

Base / Score

1st and 2nd • Tie 1-1

Count Edge

-1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.55% EV

Scenario Swing Index+25

RISPLess Than 2 OutsTie Game

OVR 44%EV -0.55%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top5 • Kansas City Royals

Bobby Witt Jr. challenged (pitch result), call on the field was confirmed: Bobby Witt Jr. called out on strikes.

Medium Pressure • ELI 56

Confirmed -20

Count Shift

Strikeout

Base / Score

1st and 2nd • Tie 1-1

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.08% EV

Scenario Swing Index-20

RISPLess Than 2 OutsTie Game

Top8 • Minnesota Twins

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 42

Confirmed -15

Count Shift

1-1

Base / Score

1st and 2nd • 5-1

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.18% EV

Scenario Swing Index-15

RISPLess Than 2 Outs

OVR 63%EV -0.18%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top8 • Minnesota Twins

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 42

Confirmed -15

Count Shift

1-0

Base / Score

Bases Loaded • 5-1

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.39% EV

Scenario Swing Index-15

RISPLess Than 2 OutsBases Loaded

OVR 44%EV -0.39%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top9 • Kansas City Royals

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 53

Confirmed -19

Count Shift

1-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 6-1

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.09% EV

Scenario Swing Index-19

Two Outs

OVR 67%EV +0.09%HIGH RE confidenceMEDIUM OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Austin Martin vs Noah Cameron

Count Transition

Walk → 3-2

Result

Call Overturned

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Bases Empty

Bot 3 • 0-1 • 0 outs

Home offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Changeup

Velocity

81.3 MPH

Location

0.63 x, 3.18 z

Umpire Count

Walk

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from Walk to 3-2.

Comparable game states move win expectancy by -0.63% from the corrected review state.

Decision Read

Model leaned challenge

63% overturn probability and +0.01% expected value at challenge time.