Game 823697

Kansas City Royals at Minnesota Twins

Target Field

Jun 6, 2:10 PM EDT

Final

Status: Complete

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MIN

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Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
KC	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	3	8	0	Challenges remaining: 1
MIN	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	2	4	1	Challenges remaining: 0

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

MIN

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

MIN4KC3

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

MIN50%KC67%

50%

67%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

MIN50%KC67%

50%

67%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

7 reviewed pitches so far • 4 overturned

Highest Risk Split

LHP vs LHB

RHP vs RHB

67%

3 reviews

ELI 65.7

RHP vs LHB

50%

2 reviews

ELI 51.5

LHP vs LHB

100%

1 review

ELI 71.0

RHP vs SHB

1 review

ELI 71.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

2 reviews • 100% overturned

Most Active Lane

Bot-R

2 reviews • 0% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Top3 • Minnesota Twins

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 51

Overturned +23

Count Shift

3-1 → 2-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 1-0

Count Edge

-53.7 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.17% EV

Scenario Swing Index+23

Two Outs

OVR 44%EV +0.17%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -17.4 ptsBB -55.6 pts

Bot5 • Kansas City Royals

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 48

Overturned +22

Count Shift

2-0 → 1-1

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 1-0

Count Edge

-1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -1.25% EV

Scenario Swing Index+22

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 44%EV -1.25%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top6 • Minnesota Twins

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 52

Confirmed -18

Count Shift

1-1

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • Tie 1-1

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +1.28% EV

Scenario Swing Index-18

Less Than 2 OutsTie Game

OVR 63%EV +1.28%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top7 • Minnesota Twins

Victor Caratini challenged (pitch result), call on the field was overturned: Carter Jensen called out on strikes.

Medium Pressure • ELI 64

Overturned +29

Count Shift

2-2 → Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • Tie 1-1

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.50% EV

Scenario Swing Index+29

Less Than 2 OutsLate & CloseTie Game

Top9 • Kansas City Royals

Ball

High Pressure • ELI 71

Overturned +32

Count Shift

0-2 → 1-1

Base / Score

Runner on 2nd • 3-2

Count Edge

+17.1 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.38% EV

Scenario Swing Index+32

RISPTwo OutsLate & Close

OVR 39%EV -0.38%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +17.7 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot9 • Minnesota Twins

Called Strike

High Pressure • ELI 71

Confirmed -25

Count Shift

2-2

Base / Score

1st and 2nd • 3-2

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.55% EV

Scenario Swing Index-25

RISPTwo OutsLate & Close

OVR 39%EV -0.55%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot9 • Kansas City Royals

Ball

High Pressure • ELI 78

Confirmed -27

Count Shift

2-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 3-2

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +1.64% EV

Scenario Swing Index-27

Two OutsLate & Close

OVR 98%EV +1.64%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Vinnie Pasquantino vs Joe Ryan

Count Transition

3-1 → 2-2

Result

Call Overturned

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Bases Empty

Top 3 • 1-0 • 2 outs

Away offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

Velocity

94.1 MPH

Location

-0.81 x, 2.95 z

Umpire Count

3-1

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from 3-1 to 2-2.

Comparable game states move win expectancy by +1.48% from the corrected review state.

Decision Read

Model leaned challenge

44% overturn probability and +0.17% expected value at challenge time.