Game 823709

Miami Marlins at Minnesota Twins

Target Field

May 14, 1:40 PM EDT

Final

Status: Complete

MIA

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MIN

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Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
MIA	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	5	1	Challenges remaining: 1
MIN	0	5	1	0	0	0	0	3	—	9	9	0	Challenges remaining: 0

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

MIN

MIA

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

MIN2MIA2

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

MIN0%MIA50%

50%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

MIN0%MIA0%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

4 reviewed pitches so far • 1 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs RHB

50%

2 reviews

ELI 30.5

LHP vs RHB

1 review

ELI 55.0

LHP vs SHB

1 review

ELI 52.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Sinker

4 reviews • 25% overturned

Most Active Lane

Mid-R

1 reviews • 100% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Bot1 • Minnesota Twins

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 55

Confirmed -19

Count Shift

1-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.72% EV

Scenario Swing Index-19

Two OutsTie Game

OVR 3%EV -0.72%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot2 • Miami Marlins

Ball

Low Pressure • ELI 33

Confirmed -12

Count Shift

1-0

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 0-5

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -1.50% EV

Scenario Swing Index-12

Two Outs

OVR 98%EV -1.50%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot3 • Miami Marlins

Called Strike

Low Pressure • ELI 28

Overturned +13

Count Shift

1-0 → 0-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 0-6

Count Edge

-1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.37% EV

Scenario Swing Index+13

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 98%EV +0.37%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top8 • Minnesota Twins

Ryan Jeffers challenged (pitch result), call on the field was confirmed: Xavier Edwards walks.

Medium Pressure • ELI 47

Confirmed -16

Count Shift

Walk

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 0-6

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.25% EV

Scenario Swing Index-16

Two Outs

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Luke Keaschall vs Braxton Garrett

Count Transition

1-2

Result

Call Confirmed

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Bases Empty

Bot 1 • Tie 0-0 • 2 outs

Home offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Sinker

Velocity

91.8 MPH

Location

0.32 x, 1.89 z

Umpire Count

1-2

Baseball Consequence

Review confirmed the call and kept the plate appearance at 1-2.

The review did not create a new state; 1-2 situations typically carry +0.00% of win expectancy from this baseline.

Decision Read

Model leaned hold

3% overturn probability and -0.72% expected value at challenge time.