Game 823710

Miami Marlins at Minnesota Twins

Target Field

May 13, 7:40 PM EDT

Final

Status: Complete

MIA

123456789220401000

MIN

123456789101020010

Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
MIA	2	2	0	4	0	1	0	0	0	9	11	1	Challenges remaining: 1
MIN	1	0	1	0	2	0	0	1	0	5	8	2	Challenges remaining: 1

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

MIN

MIA

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

MIN3MIA4

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

MIN67%MIA75%

67%

75%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

MIN0%MIA0%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

7 reviewed pitches so far • 5 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs LHB

100%

3 reviews

ELI 42.0

RHP vs RHB

50%

2 reviews

ELI 40.5

RHP vs SHB

100%

1 review

ELI 24.0

LHP vs RHB

1 review

ELI 38.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Sinker

3 reviews • 67% overturned

Most Active Lane

Bot-L

2 reviews • 100% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Bot3 • Minnesota Twins

Austin Martin challenged (pitch result), call on the field was confirmed: Austin Martin called out on strikes.

Medium Pressure • ELI 40

Confirmed -14

Count Shift

Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 4-2

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.74% EV

Scenario Swing Index-14

Less Than 2 Outs

Top4 • Minnesota Twins

Called Strike

Low Pressure • ELI 24

Overturned +11

Count Shift

3-1 → 2-2

Base / Score

2nd and 3rd • 6-2

Count Edge

-53.7 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.69% EV

Scenario Swing Index+11

RISPLess Than 2 Outs

OVR 44%EV -0.69%LOW RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -17.4 ptsBB -55.6 pts

Top6 • Miami Marlins

Ball

Low Pressure • ELI 34

Overturned +15

Count Shift

1-1 → 2-0

Base / Score

1st and 2nd • 9-4

Count Edge

+1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.22% EV

Scenario Swing Index+15

RISPLess Than 2 Outs

OVR 67%EV -0.22%HIGH RE confidenceMEDIUM OVR confidenceAVG +1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot6 • Miami Marlins

Joe Mack challenged (pitch result), call on the field was overturned: Matt Wallner called out on strikes.

Low Pressure • ELI 30

Overturned +14

Count Shift

3-2 → Strikeout

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 9-4

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.22% EV

Scenario Swing Index+14

Less Than 2 Outs

Top7 • Minnesota Twins

Called Strike

Low Pressure • ELI 38

Overturned +17

Count Shift

1-0 → 0-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 9-4

Count Edge

-1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.01% EV

Scenario Swing Index+17

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 44%EV -0.01%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot8 • Miami Marlins

Ball

Low Pressure • ELI 38

Confirmed -13

Count Shift

3-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 9-5

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.14% EV

Scenario Swing Index-13

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 44%EV +0.14%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot9 • Miami Marlins

Joe Mack challenged (pitch result), call on the field was overturned: Tristan Gray called out on strikes.

Medium Pressure • ELI 44

Overturned +20

Count Shift

3-2 → Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 9-5

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.32% EV

Scenario Swing Index+20

Less Than 2 Outs

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Austin Martin vs Max Meyer

Count Transition

Strikeout

Result

Call Confirmed

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Bases Empty

Bot 3 • 4-2 • 1 out

Home offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

Velocity

96.0 MPH

Location

0.62 x, 3.04 z

Umpire Count

Strikeout

Baseball Consequence

Review confirmed the call and kept the plate appearance at Strikeout.

The review did not create a new state; Strikeout situations typically carry +0.00% of win expectancy from this baseline.

Decision Read

Model leaned hold

3% overturn probability and -0.74% expected value at challenge time.