Game 823723

Boston Red Sox at Minnesota Twins

Target Field

Apr 14, 7:40 PM EDT

Final

Status: Complete

BOS

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MIN

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Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
BOS	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	0	0	0	Challenges remaining: 0
MIN	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	0	0	0	Challenges remaining: 2

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

MIN

BOS

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

MIN1BOS4

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

MIN100%BOS50%

100%

50%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

MIN0%BOS0%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

5 reviewed pitches so far • 3 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs LHB

100%

2 reviews

ELI 49.5

LHP vs RHB

50%

2 reviews

ELI 48.0

RHP vs RHB

1 review

ELI 41.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

2 reviews • 50% overturned

Most Active Lane

Bot-M

3 reviews • 67% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Bot1 • Boston Red Sox

Carlos Narváez challenged (pitch result), call on the field was overturned: Trevor Larnach called out on strikes.

Medium Pressure • ELI 46

Overturned +21

Count Shift

3-2 → Strikeout

Base / Score

Runner on 2nd • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.34% EV

Scenario Swing Index+21

RISPLess Than 2 OutsTie Game

Bot2 • Minnesota Twins

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 46

Overturned +21

Count Shift

1-2 → 2-1

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 0-1

Count Edge

+17.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.05% EV

Scenario Swing Index+21

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 39%EV -0.05%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +17.5 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top6 • Boston Red Sox

Andruw Monasterio challenged (pitch result), call on the field was confirmed: Andruw Monasterio called out on strikes.

Low Pressure • ELI 34

Confirmed -12

Count Shift

Strikeout

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 0-5

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.63% EV

Scenario Swing Index-12

Less Than 2 Outs

Top8 • Boston Red Sox

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 42

Overturned +19

Count Shift

1-2 → 2-1

Base / Score

1st and 2nd • 0-6

Count Edge

+17.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.57% EV

Scenario Swing Index+19

RISPLess Than 2 Outs

OVR 3%EV -0.57%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +17.5 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot8 • Boston Red Sox

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 54

Confirmed -19

Count Shift

3-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 0-6

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.02% EV

Scenario Swing Index-19

Two Outs

OVR 44%EV -0.02%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Trevor Larnach vs Sonny Gray

Count Transition

3-2 → Strikeout

Result

Call Overturned

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Runner on 2nd

Bot 1 • Tie 0-0 • 0 outs

Home offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

Velocity

93.2 MPH

Location

0.05 x, 1.58 z

Umpire Count

3-2

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from 3-2 to Strikeout.

Comparable game states move win expectancy by +0.00% from the corrected review state.

Decision Read

Model leaned hold

44% overturn probability and -0.34% expected value at challenge time.