Game 823724

Detroit Tigers at Minnesota Twins

Target Field

Apr 9, 1:40 PM EDT

Final

Status: Complete

DET

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MIN

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Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
DET	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	5	0	Challenges remaining: 1
MIN	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	2	—	3	9	0	Challenges remaining: 1

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

MIN

DET

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

MIN5DET2

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

MIN80%DET50%

80%

50%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

MIN40%DET0%

40%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

7 reviewed pitches so far • 5 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs RHB

75%

4 reviews

ELI 56.3

RHP vs LHB

67%

3 reviews

ELI 56.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

5 reviews • 60% overturned

Most Active Lane

Bot-R

3 reviews • 100% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Top1 • Detroit Tigers

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 51

Confirmed -18

Count Shift

3-2

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.40% EV

Scenario Swing Index-18

Less Than 2 OutsTie Game

OVR 39%EV -0.40%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top1 • Minnesota Twins

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 46

Overturned +21

Count Shift

1-0 → 0-1

Base / Score

1st and 2nd • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

-1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +1.56% EV

Scenario Swing Index+21

RISPLess Than 2 OutsTie Game

OVR 63%EV +1.56%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top1 • Minnesota Twins

Victor Caratini challenged (pitch result), call on the field was overturned: Riley Greene called out on strikes.

Medium Pressure • ELI 46

Overturned +21

Count Shift

1-2 → Strikeout

Base / Score

1st and 2nd • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.13% EV

Scenario Swing Index+21

RISPLess Than 2 OutsTie Game

Bot2 • Detroit Tigers

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 55

Overturned +25

Count Shift

Walk → 3-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.53% EV

Scenario Swing Index+25

Less Than 2 OutsTie Game

Top5 • Minnesota Twins

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 59

Confirmed -21

Count Shift

3-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 0-1

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.11% EV

Scenario Swing Index-21

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 44%EV -0.11%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot8 • Minnesota Twins

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 64

Overturned +29

Count Shift

2-1 → 3-0

Base / Score

1st and 2nd • Tie 1-1

Count Edge

+61.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.76% EV

Scenario Swing Index+29

RISPLess Than 2 OutsLate & CloseTie Game

OVR 39%EV -0.76%MEDIUM RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +5.9 ptsBB +90.1 pts

Top9 • Minnesota Twins

Called Strike

High Pressure • ELI 65

Overturned +29

Count Shift

2-1 → 1-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 1-3

Count Edge

-17.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.13% EV

Scenario Swing Index+29

Two OutsLate & Close

OVR 63%EV -0.13%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -17.5 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Colt Keith vs Mick Abel

Count Transition

3-2

Result

Call Confirmed

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Runner on 1st

Top 1 • Tie 0-0 • 0 outs

Away offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

Velocity

95.5 MPH

Location

-0.77 x, 2.33 z

Umpire Count

3-2

Baseball Consequence

Review confirmed the call and kept the plate appearance at 3-2.

The review did not create a new state; 3-2 situations typically carry +0.00% of win expectancy from this baseline.

Decision Read

Model leaned hold

39% overturn probability and -0.40% expected value at challenge time.