Game 823803

Toronto Blue Jays at Milwaukee Brewers

American Family Field

Apr 15, 7:40 PM EDT

Final

Status: Complete

TOR

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MIL

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Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
TOR	1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	1	1	0	Challenges remaining: 1
MIL	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	0	1	0	Challenges remaining: 2

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

MIL

TOR

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

MIL3TOR1

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

MIL100%TOR0%

100%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

MIL67%TOR0%

67%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

4 reviewed pitches so far • 3 overturned

Highest Risk Split

LHP vs RHB

RHP vs RHB

67%

3 reviews

ELI 56.0

LHP vs RHB

100%

1 review

ELI 65.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

3 reviews • 67% overturned

Most Active Lane

Mid-R

1 reviews • 100% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Bot4 • Toronto Blue Jays

Brandon Valenzuela challenged (pitch result), call on the field was confirmed: Gary Sánchez walks.

Medium Pressure • ELI 46

Confirmed -16

Count Shift

Walk

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 1-0

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.27% EV

Scenario Swing Index-16

Less Than 2 OutsFull Count

Bot4 • Milwaukee Brewers

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 46

Overturned +21

Count Shift

1-1 → 2-0

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 1-0

Count Edge

+1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.79% EV

Scenario Swing Index+21

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 3%EV -0.79%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top7 • Milwaukee Brewers

Called Strike

High Pressure • ELI 65

Overturned +29

Count Shift

2-0 → 1-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 1-0

Count Edge

-1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -1.32% EV

Scenario Swing Index+29

Two OutsLate & Close

OVR 44%EV -1.32%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot7 • Milwaukee Brewers

Ball

High Pressure • ELI 65

Overturned +29

Count Shift

0-1 → 1-0

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 1-0

Count Edge

+1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.75% EV

Scenario Swing Index+29

Two OutsLate & Close

OVR 3%EV -0.75%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Gary Sánchez vs Dylan Cease

Count Transition

Walk

Result

Call Confirmed

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Runner on 1st

Bot 4 • 1-0 • 1 out

Home offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

Velocity

99.4 MPH

Location

0.07 x, 1.45 z

Umpire Count

Walk

Baseball Consequence

Review confirmed the call and kept the plate appearance at Walk.

The review did not create a new state; Walk situations typically carry +0.00% of win expectancy from this baseline.

Decision Read

Model leaned challenge

63% overturn probability and +0.27% expected value at challenge time.