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Game 823809

Tampa Bay Rays at Milwaukee Brewers

American Family Field

Mar 30, 11:40 PM UTC

Tampa Bay Rays Logo
Milwaukee Brewers Logo
Final
Status: Complete
Matchup123456789RHEABS
Tampa Bay Rays Logo
TB
100000101371
Challenges remaining: 1
Milwaukee Brewers Logo
MIL
000002000260
Challenges remaining: 2

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Debrief generated Apr 1, 12:48 AM

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

MIL
TB

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

MIL1TB3
1
3

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

MIL100%TB33%
100%
33%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

MIL100%TB67%
100%
67%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

4 reviewed pitches so far • 2 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs RHB

RHP vs RHB

100%

1 review

ELI 66.0

RHP vs SHB

100%

1 review

ELI 71.0

LHP vs LHB

0%

1 review

ELI 60.0

RHP vs LHB

0%

1 review

ELI 46.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Sinker

2 reviews • 50% overturned

Most Active Lane

Bot-L

2 reviews • 50% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Bot2 • Tampa Bay Rays

Pitch challenge

Medium Pressure • ELI 46

Confirmed -16

Count Shift

Unavailable

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 1-0

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Run Value

+0.000 RE

Scenario Swing Index-16
Less Than 2 Outs

Bot8 • Tampa Bay Rays

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 60

Confirmed -21

Count Shift

3-0

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • Tie 2-2

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Hold • -4.92% EV

Scenario Swing Index-21
Less Than 2 OutsLate & CloseTie Game
OVR 45%EV -4.92%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Call was confirmed after review.

Top9 • Milwaukee Brewers

Called Strike

High Pressure • ELI 66

Overturned +48

Count Shift

1-0 → 0-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • Tie 2-2

Count Edge

+0.2 pts

Decision Read

Challenge • +1.00% EV

Scenario Swing Index+48
Less Than 2 OutsLate & CloseTie Game
OVR 53%EV +1.00%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.2 ptsBB +0.0 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Bot9 • Tampa Bay Rays

Called Strike

High Pressure • ELI 71

Overturned +51

Count Shift

3-1 → 2-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 3-2

Count Edge

-27.7 pts

Decision Read

Challenge • +7.75% EV

Scenario Swing Index+51
Two OutsLate & Close
OVR 53%EV +7.75%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG -4.0 ptsBB -27.8 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Narrative Intelligence

Game Debrief

Narrative readout of how the review battle unfolded after the charts have established which club actually captured the value.

The Tampa Bay Rays edged the Milwaukee Brewers 3-2 in a tightly contested game at American Family Field, with challenges playing a notable role in shaping the late innings. The core ABS narrative centered around the critical use of video review in high-leverage, late-and-close situations, particularly in the ninth inning where both teams saw pivotal strike calls overturned. A total of four challenges were issued, evenly split in terms of confirmed and overturned calls, underscoring how finely balanced the umpiring decisions were in this contest.

In the bottom of the ninth, the Rays successfully challenged a called strike on Nick Fortes at a 3-1 count, which was overturned to a 2-2 count, subtly shifting momentum in a score-tight scenario. Shortly after, the Brewers also benefited from an overturned called strike on William Contreras, changing his count from 1-0 to 0-1. These challenges directly affected the count early in the respective at-bats, highlighting the corrective impact of ABS intervention during decisive moments. Earlier, in the eighth inning, the Rays’ challenge of a ball call on Fortes was confirmed, maintaining the status quo as the score remained knotted at 2-2.

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Zone Mode
B1-0Four-Seam FastballCFMB

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)
Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)
ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)
Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Junior Caminero vs Trevor Megill

Count Transition

1-0 → 0-1

Result

Call Overturned

Count Changed

Game State

Bases Empty

Top 9 • Tie 2-2 • 0 outs

Away offense batting

Estimated Leverage

66

Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

Velocity

96.2 MPH

Location

0.81 x, 1.79 z

Count Before

1-0

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from 1-0 to 0-1.

Comparable game states move run expectancy by -0.095 from this review state.

Decision Read

Model favored a challenge

53% overturn probability and +1.00% expected value at challenge time.

The plate umpire’s 2-for-4 overturn record reflects a borderline strike zone judgment that required technological assistance to tilt the calls closer to accuracy. Notably, pitch-location data backed up the majority of these decisions, affirming the system’s utility in refining the strike zone in a stadium where margin for error is slim. While the data limitations around count diversity prevent a full exploration of umpiring patterns, the evidence in this game presents a case for the increasing role of ABS in preserving competitive balance, especially in the late innings of a close scoreline.

Debrief quality