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Game 823812

Chicago White Sox at Milwaukee Brewers

American Family Field

Mar 26, 6:10 PM UTC

Chicago White Sox Logo
Milwaukee Brewers Logo
Final
Status: Complete
Matchup123456789RHEABS
Chicago White Sox Logo
CWS
100000001241
Challenges remaining: 1
Milwaukee Brewers Logo
MIL
04022330—14120
Challenges remaining: 2

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Debrief generated Mar 29, 8:48 PM

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

MIL
CWS

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

MIL0CWS4
0
4

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

Mixed ConfidenceMILN/ACWS75%

One club has a trusted modeled read here while the other side is still below confidence threshold, so compare the available value carefully.

N/A
75%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

Mixed ConfidenceMILN/ACWS0%

One club has a trusted modeled read here while the other side is still below confidence threshold, so compare the available value carefully.

N/A
0%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

4 reviewed pitches so far • 3 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs RHB

RHP vs RHB

100%

2 reviews

ELI 44.5

RHP vs LHB

50%

2 reviews

ELI 40.5

Most Targeted Pitch

Sinker

2 reviews • 50% overturned

Most Active Lane

Top-R

2 reviews • 50% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Bot1 • Chicago White Sox

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 42

Overturned +30

Count Shift

3-1 → 2-2

Base / Score

Runner on 2nd • 1-0

Count Edge

-27.7 pts

Decision Read

Challenge • +4.46% EV

Scenario Swing Index+30
RISPLess Than 2 Outs
OVR 53%EV +4.46%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG -4.0 ptsBB -27.8 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Bot2 • Chicago White Sox

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 50

Overturned +36

Count Shift

1-0 → 0-1

Base / Score

Bases Loaded • Tie 1-1

Count Edge

+0.2 pts

Decision Read

Challenge • +11.96% EV

Scenario Swing Index+36
RISPLess Than 2 OutsTie GameBases Loaded
OVR 53%EV +11.96%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.2 ptsBB +0.0 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Bot2 • Chicago White Sox

Called Strike

Low Pressure • ELI 39

Overturned +28

Count Shift

2-1 → 1-2

Base / Score

Runner on 2nd • 1-4

Count Edge

-0.9 pts

Decision Read

Hold • -0.32% EV

Scenario Swing Index+28
RISPTwo Outs
OVR 53%EV -0.32%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG -1.6 ptsBB +0.0 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Bot6 • Chicago White Sox

Ball

Low Pressure • ELI 39

Confirmed -14

Count Shift

2-1

Base / Score

Bases Loaded • 1-9

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Hold • -5.15% EV

Scenario Swing Index-14
RISPTwo OutsBases Loaded
OVR 45%EV -5.15%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Call was confirmed after review.

Narrative Intelligence

Game Debrief

Narrative readout of how the review battle unfolded after the charts have established which club actually captured the value.

The Milwaukee Brewers dominated the Chicago White Sox with a final score of 14-2 at American Family Field, underscoring a game where the Brewers' offensive prowess was on full display and the ABS challenges illuminated some subtle dynamics of the strike zone enforcement. Despite the lopsided result, the ABS system notably came into play primarily on the White Sox side, where 3 of their 4 challenges were successful, all involving called strikes on Edgar Quero. These overturned calls adjusted the counts during key early innings, reflecting a cautious but effective use of the challenge system to correct umpire strike zone calls.

The three key ABS moments clustered in the bottom of the first two innings, with all overturned called strikes coming on Quero in counts shifting from 3-1 to 2-2, 2-1 to 1-2, and 1-0 to 0-1. These adjustments show that the ABS system helped the White Sox gain more accurate counts in moments when they were trying to gain footing against Milwaukee’s pitching. However, these successful challenges didn’t materially impact the game's outcome, given Milwaukee's overwhelming run production. The Brewers opted not to challenge any calls, highlighting their comfortable margin.

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Zone Mode
CFM2-1SinkerBBB

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)
Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)
ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)
Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Sal Frelick vs Jordan Hicks

Count Transition

2-1

Result

Call Confirmed

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Bases Loaded

Bot 6 • 1-9 • 2 outs

Home offense batting

Estimated Leverage

39

Pitch

Sinker

Velocity

98.6 MPH

Location

0.45 x, 3.35 z

Count Before

2-1

Baseball Consequence

Review held the count at 2-1.

Comparable game states move run expectancy by +0.000 from this review state.

Decision Read

Model favored holding

45% overturn probability and -5.15% expected value at challenge time.

The plate umpire’s overall line, with 3 of 4 calls overturned, points to a zone slightly prone to incorrect strike calls, but ABS interventions were limited to verifying the early counts in the innings rather than altering pivotal late-game moments. All four challenged calls had tracked pitch locations, supporting the integrity of the ABS decisions and enabling a reliable zone review.

While the ABS instances in this game did not influence the final result, they demonstrated ABS's precision in moderating early plate appearances and maintaining fairness, even in a game otherwise marred by Milwaukee’s dominance. The data sample is limited to challenges involving just one batter and a few pitches, so caution remains warranted in extrapolating broader umpiring trends from this single matchup.

Debrief quality