Game 823856

Arizona Diamondbacks at Miami Marlins

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Jun 10, 6:40 PM EDT

Final

Status: Complete

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MIA

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Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
AZ	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6	0	Challenges remaining: 2
MIA	0	0	1	6	1	0	0	0	—	8	10	0	Challenges remaining: 2

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

MIA

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

MIA3AZ2

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

MIA100%AZ100%

100%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

MIA0%AZ0%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

5 reviewed pitches so far • 5 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs RHB

100%

3 reviews

ELI 42.0

RHP vs LHB

100%

2 reviews

ELI 41.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

3 reviews • 100% overturned

Most Active Lane

Top-L

3 reviews • 100% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Top5 • Miami Marlins

Liam Hicks challenged (pitch result), call on the field was overturned: Ryan Waldschmidt called out on strikes.

Low Pressure • ELI 30

Overturned +14

Count Shift

2-2 → Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 0-7

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.02% EV

Scenario Swing Index+14

Less Than 2 Outs

Top6 • Arizona Diamondbacks

Pavin Smith challenged (pitch result), call on the field was overturned: Pavin Smith walks. Nolan Arenado to 2nd.

Low Pressure • ELI 34

Overturned +15

Count Shift

3-2 → Walk

Base / Score

Bases Loaded • 0-8

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.56% EV

Scenario Swing Index+15

RISPLess Than 2 OutsBases Loaded

Top7 • Miami Marlins

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 42

Overturned +19

Count Shift

1-0 → 0-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 0-8

Count Edge

-1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.69% EV

Scenario Swing Index+19

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 63%EV -0.69%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top8 • Miami Marlins

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 43

Overturned +19

Count Shift

Walk → 3-1

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 0-8

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.11% EV

Scenario Swing Index+19

Less Than 2 Outs

Bot8 • Arizona Diamondbacks

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 47

Overturned +21

Count Shift

1-0 → 0-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 0-8

Count Edge

-1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.07% EV

Scenario Swing Index+21

Two Outs

OVR 44%EV -0.07%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Ryan Waldschmidt vs Lake Bachar

Count Transition

2-2 → Strikeout

Result

Call Overturned

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Bases Empty

Top 5 • 0-7 • 0 outs

Away offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Sweeper

Velocity

87.5 MPH

Location

0.76 x, 1.96 z

Umpire Count

2-2

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from 2-2 to Strikeout.

Comparable game states move win expectancy by -1.18% from the corrected review state.

Decision Read

Model leaned hold

63% overturn probability and -0.02% expected value at challenge time.