Game 823857

Tampa Bay Rays at Miami Marlins

loanDepot park

Jun 7, 1:40 PM EDT

Final

Status: Complete

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MIA

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Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
TB	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	6	1	Challenges remaining: 0
MIA	0	0	0	0	0	2	2	0	—	4	5	0	Challenges remaining: 2

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

MIA

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

MIA0TB3

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

Mixed ConfidenceMIAN/ATB33%

One club has a trusted modeled read here while the other side is still below confidence threshold, so compare the available value carefully.

N/A

33%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

Mixed ConfidenceMIAN/ATB0%

One club has a trusted modeled read here while the other side is still below confidence threshold, so compare the available value carefully.

N/A

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

3 reviewed pitches so far • 1 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs LHB

50%

2 reviews

ELI 55.0

LHP vs LHB

1 review

ELI 57.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

2 reviews • 50% overturned

Most Active Lane

Bot-L

2 reviews • 0% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Top5 • Tampa Bay Rays

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 48

Overturned +22

Count Shift

0-1 → 1-0

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 1-0

Count Edge

+1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +1.01% EV

Scenario Swing Index+22

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 39%EV +1.01%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot5 • Tampa Bay Rays

Hunter Feduccia challenged (pitch result), call on the field was confirmed: Jakob Marsee walks.

Medium Pressure • ELI 57

Confirmed -20

Count Shift

Walk

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 1-0

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.30% EV

Scenario Swing Index-20

Two Outs

Bot6 • Tampa Bay Rays

Hunter Feduccia challenged (pitch result), call on the field was confirmed: Liam Hicks walks.

Medium Pressure • ELI 52

Confirmed -18

Count Shift

Walk

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 1-0

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.17% EV

Scenario Swing Index-18

Less Than 2 Outs

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Victor Mesa Jr. vs Sandy Alcantara

Count Transition

0-1 → 1-0

Result

Call Overturned

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Bases Empty

Top 5 • 1-0 • 0 outs

Away offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

Velocity

96.2 MPH

Location

-0.62 x, 3.32 z

Umpire Count

0-1

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from 0-1 to 1-0.

Comparable game states move win expectancy by +4.00% from the corrected review state.

Decision Read

Model leaned challenge

39% overturn probability and +1.01% expected value at challenge time.