Game 823859

Tampa Bay Rays at Miami Marlins

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Jun 6, 4:10 PM EDT

Final

Status: Complete

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MIA

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Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
TB	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	3	5	1	Challenges remaining: 0
MIA	0	0	0	0	2	2	0	0	—	4	10	1	Challenges remaining: 0

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

MIA

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

MIA2TB3

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

MIA0%TB33%

33%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

MIA50%TB0%

50%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

5 reviewed pitches so far • 1 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs RHB

50%

2 reviews

ELI 49.0

LHP vs SHB

2 reviews

ELI 51.0

RHP vs LHB

1 review

ELI 72.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Curveball

1 reviews • 100% overturned

Most Active Lane

Bot-R

1 reviews • 100% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Top5 • Tampa Bay Rays

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 56

Confirmed -20

Count Shift

1-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.22% EV

Scenario Swing Index-20

Less Than 2 OutsTie Game

OVR 39%EV -0.22%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot5 • Miami Marlins

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 46

Confirmed -16

Count Shift

0-2

Base / Score

1st and 2nd • 0-2

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.24% EV

Scenario Swing Index-16

RISPLess Than 2 Outs

OVR 67%EV -0.24%HIGH RE confidenceMEDIUM OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top6 • Tampa Bay Rays

Nick Fortes challenged (pitch result), call on the field was confirmed: Nick Fortes called out on strikes.

Medium Pressure • ELI 42

Confirmed -15

Count Shift

Strikeout

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 0-2

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.17% EV

Scenario Swing Index-15

Less Than 2 Outs

Top6 • Tampa Bay Rays

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 49

Overturned +22

Count Shift

Strikeout → 2-2

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 0-2

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

No review • +0.00% EV

Scenario Swing Index+22

Less Than 2 Outs

Top9 • Miami Marlins

Ball

High Pressure • ELI 72

Confirmed -25

Count Shift

1-2

Base / Score

1st and 3rd • 2-4

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +1.06% EV

Scenario Swing Index-25

RISPTwo OutsLate & Close

OVR 63%EV +1.06%MEDIUM RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Taylor Walls vs John King

Count Transition

1-1

Result

Call Confirmed

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Bases Empty

Top 5 • Tie 0-0 • 1 out

Away offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Sweeper

Velocity

80.8 MPH

Location

0.79 x, 2.71 z

Umpire Count

1-1

Baseball Consequence

Review confirmed the call and kept the plate appearance at 1-1.

The review did not create a new state; 1-1 situations typically carry +0.00% of win expectancy from this baseline.

Decision Read

Model leaned hold

39% overturn probability and -0.22% expected value at challenge time.