Game 823862

New York Mets at Miami Marlins

loanDepot park

May 23, 4:10 PM EDT

Final

Status: Complete

NYM

123456789000000001

MIA

12345678902101000—

Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
NYM	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	3	0	Challenges remaining: 0
MIA	0	2	1	0	1	0	0	0	—	4	8	1	Challenges remaining: 2

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

MIA

NYM

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

MIA0NYM3

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

Mixed ConfidenceMIAN/ANYM33%

One club has a trusted modeled read here while the other side is still below confidence threshold, so compare the available value carefully.

N/A

33%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

Mixed ConfidenceMIAN/ANYM0%

One club has a trusted modeled read here while the other side is still below confidence threshold, so compare the available value carefully.

N/A

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

3 reviewed pitches so far • 1 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs LHB

50%

2 reviews

ELI 54.5

RHP vs RHB

1 review

ELI 47.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Sweeper

1 reviews • 100% overturned

Most Active Lane

Bot-R

3 reviews • 33% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Top1 • New York Mets

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 55

Overturned +25

Count Shift

1-1 → 2-0

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

+1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.06% EV

Scenario Swing Index+25

Two OutsTie Game

OVR 39%EV +0.06%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot7 • New York Mets

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 47

Confirmed -16

Count Shift

2-0

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 0-4

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.07% EV

Scenario Swing Index-16

Two Outs

OVR 63%EV +0.07%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top8 • New York Mets

Carson Benge challenged (pitch result), call on the field was confirmed: Carson Benge called out on strikes.

Medium Pressure • ELI 47

Confirmed -16

Count Shift

Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 0-4

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.58% EV

Scenario Swing Index-16

Two Outs

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Juan Soto vs Max Meyer

Count Transition

1-1 → 2-0

Result

Call Overturned

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Runner on 1st

Top 1 • Tie 0-0 • 2 outs

Away offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Sweeper

Velocity

89.4 MPH

Location

0.62 x, 1.43 z

Umpire Count

1-1

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from 1-1 to 2-0.

Comparable game states move win expectancy by +1.42% from the corrected review state.

Decision Read

Model leaned challenge

39% overturn probability and +0.06% expected value at challenge time.