Game 823864

Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins

loanDepot park

May 21, 6:40 PM EDT

Final

Status: Complete

ATL

123456789210021021

MIA

123456789001100100

Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
ATL	2	1	0	0	2	1	0	2	1	9	13	0	Challenges remaining: 0
MIA	0	0	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	3	6	0	Challenges remaining: 2

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

MIA

ATL

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

MIA0ATL3

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

Mixed ConfidenceMIAN/AATL33%

One club has a trusted modeled read here while the other side is still below confidence threshold, so compare the available value carefully.

N/A

33%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

Mixed ConfidenceMIAN/AATL0%

One club has a trusted modeled read here while the other side is still below confidence threshold, so compare the available value carefully.

N/A

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

3 reviewed pitches so far • 1 overturned

Highest Risk Split

LHP vs RHB

100%

1 review

ELI 47.0

RHP vs RHB

1 review

ELI 48.0

LHP vs LHB

1 review

ELI 48.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Sweeper

1 reviews • 100% overturned

Most Active Lane

Top-R

1 reviews • 100% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Bot7 • Atlanta Braves

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 48

Confirmed -17

Count Shift

3-0

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 6-3

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.26% EV

Scenario Swing Index-17

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 44%EV -0.26%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top8 • Atlanta Braves

Ha-Seong Kim challenged (pitch result), call on the field was overturned: Ha-Seong Kim walks.

Medium Pressure • ELI 42

Overturned +19

Count Shift

3-2 → Walk

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 8-3

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.40% EV

Scenario Swing Index+19

Less Than 2 Outs

Bot9 • Atlanta Braves

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 48

Confirmed -17

Count Shift

1-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 9-3

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.10% EV

Scenario Swing Index-17

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 63%EV +0.10%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Christopher Morel vs Spencer Strider

Count Transition

3-0

Result

Call Confirmed

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Runner on 1st

Bot 7 • 6-3 • 1 out

Home offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

Velocity

93.5 MPH

Location

0.85 x, 2.40 z

Umpire Count

3-0

Baseball Consequence

Review confirmed the call and kept the plate appearance at 3-0.

The review did not create a new state; 3-0 situations typically carry +0.00% of win expectancy from this baseline.

Decision Read

Model leaned hold

44% overturn probability and -0.26% expected value at challenge time.