Game 823867

Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins

loanDepot park

May 18, 6:40 PM EDT

Final

Status: Complete

ATL

123456789000000000

MIA

12345678901056000—

Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
ATL	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	Challenges remaining: 2
MIA	0	1	0	5	6	0	0	0	—	12	10	0	Challenges remaining: 1

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

MIA

ATL

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

MIA3ATL1

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

MIA67%ATL100%

67%

100%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

MIA0%ATL0%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

4 reviewed pitches so far • 3 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs LHB

100%

2 reviews

ELI 59.5

RHP vs RHB

50%

2 reviews

ELI 46.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Slider

2 reviews • 50% overturned

Most Active Lane

Mid-L

3 reviews • 67% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Bot1 • Atlanta Braves

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 50

Overturned +23

Count Shift

1-0 → 0-1

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

-1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +1.40% EV

Scenario Swing Index+23

Less Than 2 OutsTie Game

OVR 63%EV +1.40%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top2 • Miami Marlins

Joe Mack challenged (pitch result), call on the field was overturned: Michael Harris II called out on strikes.

Medium Pressure • ELI 50

Overturned +23

Count Shift

1-2 → Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.39% EV

Scenario Swing Index+23

Less Than 2 OutsTie Game

Top2 • Miami Marlins

Joe Mack challenged (pitch result), call on the field was overturned: Dominic Smith called out on strikes.

Medium Pressure • ELI 55

Overturned +25

Count Shift

3-2 → Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.04% EV

Scenario Swing Index+25

Two OutsTie Game

Top3 • Miami Marlins

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 42

Confirmed -15

Count Shift

2-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 0-1

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +2.87% EV

Scenario Swing Index-15

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 63%EV +2.87%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Otto Lopez vs JR Ritchie

Count Transition

1-0 → 0-1

Result

Call Overturned

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Runner on 1st

Bot 1 • Tie 0-0 • 1 out

Home offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Cutter

Velocity

91.4 MPH

Location

0.50 x, 1.50 z

Umpire Count

1-0

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from 1-0 to 0-1.

Comparable game states move win expectancy by +2.69% from the corrected review state.

Decision Read

Model leaned challenge

63% overturn probability and +1.40% expected value at challenge time.