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Game 823890

Chicago White Sox at Miami Marlins

loanDepot park

Mar 30, 10:40 PM UTC

Chicago White Sox Logo
Miami Marlins Logo
Final
Status: Complete
Matchup123456789RHEABS
Chicago White Sox Logo
CWS
004401000990
Challenges remaining: 0
Miami Marlins Logo
MIA
000210010480
Challenges remaining: 0

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Debrief generated Apr 1, 12:48 AM

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

MIA
CWS

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

MIA3CWS3
3
3

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

MIA0%CWS33%
0%
33%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

MIA0%CWS0%
0%
0%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

6 reviewed pitches so far • 1 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs LHB

RHP vs RHB

0%

2 reviews

ELI 31.0

LHP vs RHB

0%

2 reviews

ELI 40.0

RHP vs LHB

100%

1 review

ELI 28.0

LHP vs SHB

0%

1 review

ELI 38.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Sinker

2 reviews • 50% overturned

Most Active Lane

Top-R

3 reviews • 33% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Top4 • Miami Marlins

Ball

Low Pressure • ELI 28

Confirmed -10

Count Shift

1-0

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 8-0

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Hold • -0.95% EV

Scenario Swing Index-10
Less Than 2 Outs
OVR 45%EV -0.95%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Call was confirmed after review.

Top4 • Chicago White Sox

Ball

Low Pressure • ELI 28

Overturned +20

Count Shift

1-2 → 2-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 8-0

Count Edge

+0.9 pts

Decision Read

Hold • -0.09% EV

Scenario Swing Index+20
Less Than 2 Outs
OVR 45%EV -0.09%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +1.6 ptsBB +0.0 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Top6 • Miami Marlins

Pitch challenge

Low Pressure • ELI 34

Confirmed -12

Count Shift

Unavailable

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 9-3

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Run Value

+0.000 RE

Scenario Swing Index-12
Less Than 2 Outs

Top8 • Miami Marlins

Ball

Low Pressure • ELI 38

Confirmed -13

Count Shift

Walk

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 9-3

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Challenge • +0.71% EV

Scenario Swing Index-13
Less Than 2 OutsFull Count

Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.

Bot8 • Chicago White Sox

Ball

Low Pressure • ELI 38

Confirmed -13

Count Shift

1-1

Base / Score

Runner on 3rd • 9-3

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Hold • -4.48% EV

Scenario Swing Index-13
RISPLess Than 2 Outs
OVR 45%EV -4.48%MEDIUM RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Call was confirmed after review.

Bot8 • Chicago White Sox

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 42

Confirmed -15

Count Shift

2-0

Base / Score

Runner on 3rd • 9-3

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Hold • +0.03% EV

Scenario Swing Index-15
RISPLess Than 2 Outs
OVR 45%EV +0.03%MEDIUM RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Call was confirmed after review.

Narrative Intelligence

Game Debrief

Narrative readout of how the review battle unfolded after the charts have established which club actually captured the value.

The Chicago White Sox secured a convincing 9-4 victory over the Miami Marlins at loanDepot park, with the game’s ABS narrative largely defined by effective use of challenges to maintain offensive momentum. Out of six total challenges, only one was overturned, and that reversal came from the White Sox, who contested a ball call on Munetaka Murakami’s at-bat in the bottom of the fourth inning. This successful challenge notably shifted the count from 1-2 to 2-1, allowing Murakami to extend the plate appearance and contribute to a commanding 8-0 lead at that moment, underscoring how a single overturned call can sustain an at-bat’s pressure and influence game rhythm.

The Miami Marlins, meanwhile, saw all three of their challenges denied, which reflects the plate umpire’s consistency in call confirmations, evidenced by one out of six total challenges being overturned overall. Most challenge activity clustered in the eighth inning, where Edgar Quero’s ball calls were both reviewed and confirmed amid a 9-3 score, illustrating how the White Sox were protecting a solid lead rather than altering critical late-game counts. These confirmed calls, albeit not altering the count, reinforced the umpiring’s steady strike zone adjudication during that period.

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Zone Mode
CFM1-0SweeperCFMCFMKCFM

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)
Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)
ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)
Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Miguel Vargas vs Chris Paddack

Count Transition

1-0

Result

Call Confirmed

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Bases Empty

Top 4 • 8-0 • 1 out

Away offense batting

Estimated Leverage

28

Pitch

Sweeper

Velocity

80.8 MPH

Location

0.84 x, 1.72 z

Count Before

1-0

Baseball Consequence

Review held the count at 1-0.

Comparable game states move run expectancy by +0.000 from this review state.

Decision Read

Model favored holding

45% overturn probability and -0.95% expected value at challenge time.

With pitch-location data available for most reviewed challenges and only one relying on inferred coordinates, the overall zone management appeared measured and reliable. The lack of late-and-close challenges also suggests that teams were primarily contesting calls in less pivotal moments, further shaping the game’s trajectory in Chicago’s favor. This postgame ABS insight shows how judicious challenge use, especially in middle innings, can preserve offensive opportunities and contribute to a decisive win.

Debrief quality