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Game 823892

Colorado Rockies at Miami Marlins

loanDepot park

Mar 28, 8:10 PM UTC

Colorado Rockies Logo
Miami Marlins Logo
Final
Status: Complete
Matchup123456789RHEABS
Colorado Rockies Logo
COL
010200000361
Challenges remaining: 2
Miami Marlins Logo
MIA
00102001—4101
Challenges remaining: 0

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Debrief generated Mar 29, 8:51 PM

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

MIA
COL

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

MIA3COL0
3
0

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

Mixed ConfidenceMIA33%COLN/A

One club has a trusted modeled read here while the other side is still below confidence threshold, so compare the available value carefully.

33%
N/A

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

Mixed ConfidenceMIA33%COLN/A

One club has a trusted modeled read here while the other side is still below confidence threshold, so compare the available value carefully.

33%
N/A

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

3 reviewed pitches so far • 1 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs RHB

RHP vs LHB

0%

2 reviews

ELI 55.5

RHP vs RHB

100%

1 review

ELI 51.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

2 reviews • 50% overturned

Most Active Lane

Top-M

1 reviews • 100% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Top2 • Miami Marlins

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 51

Overturned +37

Count Shift

1-0 → 0-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 1-0

Count Edge

+0.2 pts

Decision Read

Hold • -1.36% EV

Scenario Swing Index+37
Two Outs
OVR 53%EV -1.36%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.2 ptsBB +0.0 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Top5 • Miami Marlins

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 46

Confirmed -16

Count Shift

3-1

Base / Score

Runner on 3rd • 3-1

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Hold • -1.22% EV

Scenario Swing Index-16
RISPLess Than 2 Outs
OVR 45%EV -1.22%MEDIUM RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Call was confirmed after review.

Bot8 • Miami Marlins

Called Strike

High Pressure • ELI 65

Confirmed -23

Count Shift

Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 3-4

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Challenge • +0.72% EV

Scenario Swing Index-23
Two OutsLate & Close

Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.

Narrative Intelligence

Game Debrief

Narrative readout of how the review battle unfolded after the charts have established which club actually captured the value.

The Miami Marlins edged the Colorado Rockies 4-3 at loanDepot park in a game marked by precise use of ABS challenges that subtly influenced momentum but did not decisively alter the outcome. Miami’s three challenges resulted in one overturned call and two confirmations, underscoring the nuanced role of review rather than wholesale reversal of umpiring decisions. The sole overturned call came early in the bottom of the second inning, when Liam Hicks’s called strike was reversed from strike one to ball one, an adjustment that slightly shifted the hitter’s count but did not ultimately sway a run.

The Marlins were most active with challenges in innings two, five, and eight, reflecting a patient use of technology throughout the game’s middle and late stages. Notably, the bottom eight challenge on Graham Pauley was confirmed after review without a specific pitch event being tracked, signaling an ABS application focused more on situational verification than pitch-by-pitch adjudication. The bottom five challenge involving Liam Hicks also upheld the call, reinforcing the strength of the umpire's zone judgment during that phase of the game.

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Zone Mode
CFM2-3SliderCFMB

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)
Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)
ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)
Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Graham Pauley vs Jaden Hill

Count Transition

Strikeout

Result

Call Confirmed

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Bases Empty

Bot 8 • 3-4 • 2 outs

Home offense batting

Estimated Leverage

65

Pitch

Slider

Velocity

87.4 MPH

Location

-0.79 x, 2.07 z

Count Before

Strikeout

Baseball Consequence

Review held the count at Strikeout.

Comparable game states move run expectancy by +0.000 from this review state.

Decision Read

Model favored a challenge

53% overturn probability and +0.72% expected value at challenge time.

While pitch-location data was available on all three reviews, one relied on inferred coordinates, suggesting a degree of caution in interpreting zone trends from this sample. The lone overturned call affected an early hitter’s count rather than a more pivotal moment late in the game, indicating that the ABS system's impact leaned more towards confirming correct calls than dramatically altering the competitive narrative. Overall, Miami’s successful leverage of their limited challenges complemented a close contest that was ultimately decided by the narrowest of margins.

Debrief quality