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Game 823893

Colorado Rockies at Miami Marlins

loanDepot park

Mar 27, 11:10 PM UTC

Colorado Rockies Logo
Miami Marlins Logo
Final
Status: Complete
Matchup123456789RHEABS
Colorado Rockies Logo
COL
000100000170
Challenges remaining: 2
Miami Marlins Logo
MIA
02000000—281
Challenges remaining: 1

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Debrief generated Mar 29, 8:50 PM

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

MIA
COL

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

MIA3COL0
3
0

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

Mixed ConfidenceMIA67%COLN/A

One club has a trusted modeled read here while the other side is still below confidence threshold, so compare the available value carefully.

67%
N/A

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

Mixed ConfidenceMIA67%COLN/A

One club has a trusted modeled read here while the other side is still below confidence threshold, so compare the available value carefully.

67%
N/A

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

3 reviewed pitches so far • 2 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs SHB

RHP vs RHB

50%

2 reviews

ELI 56.5

RHP vs SHB

100%

1 review

ELI 65.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

1 reviews • 100% overturned

Most Active Lane

Bot-R

2 reviews • 50% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Top4 • Miami Marlins

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 51

Confirmed -18

Count Shift

1-1

Base / Score

Bases Loaded • 1-2

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Hold • -4.94% EV

Scenario Swing Index-18
RISPTwo OutsBases Loaded
OVR 45%EV -4.94%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Call was confirmed after review.

Top8 • Miami Marlins

Called Strike

High Pressure • ELI 65

Overturned +47

Count Shift

1-0 → 0-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 1-2

Count Edge

+0.2 pts

Decision Read

Challenge • +3.52% EV

Scenario Swing Index+47
Two OutsLate & Close
OVR 53%EV +3.52%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.2 ptsBB +0.0 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Top9 • Miami Marlins

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 62

Overturned +45

Count Shift

2-1 → 1-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 1-2

Count Edge

-0.9 pts

Decision Read

Hold • -2.60% EV

Scenario Swing Index+45
Less Than 2 OutsLate & Close
OVR 53%EV -2.60%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG -1.6 ptsBB +0.0 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Narrative Intelligence

Game Debrief

Narrative readout of how the review battle unfolded after the charts have established which club actually captured the value.

The Miami Marlins edged the Colorado Rockies 2-1 at loanDepot park, with a decisive wrinkle added by a series of successful ABS challenges primarily involving Marlins' hitter Agustín Ramírez. The Marlins’ reply emerged out of critical umpire calls that went to review, where two of three challenges—both for called strikes—were overturned in their favor, altering key counts late in the game. These calls shifted the momentum in those innings and ultimately contributed to preserving Miami's slender lead.

Ramírez was central in this dynamic. In both the bottom of the eighth and ninth innings, challenges overturned called strikes that altered the counts from 1-0 to 0-1, then later from 2-1 to 1-2. These changes were meaningful, as they modified the strike/ball balance at crucial junctures and likely influenced the hitters’ approach afterward. The confirmed call in the fourth inning, a ball at 1-1, added a baseline for the Marlins’ challenge strategy, but it was the successful overturns late in the contest that stood out. These successful challenges at such pivotal points indicate an effective use of ABS in adjusting the flow in Miami’s favor.

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Zone Mode
B2-1Four-Seam FastballCFMB

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)
Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)
ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)
Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Ezequiel Tovar vs Pete Fairbanks

Count Transition

2-1 → 1-2

Result

Call Overturned

Count Changed

Game State

Bases Empty

Top 9 • 1-2 • 0 outs

Away offense batting

Estimated Leverage

62

Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

Velocity

98.5 MPH

Location

0.35 x, 1.60 z

Count Before

2-1

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from 2-1 to 1-2.

Comparable game states move run expectancy by -0.134 from this review state.

Decision Read

Model favored holding

53% overturn probability and -2.60% expected value at challenge time.

From an umpiring perspective, all three reviewed pitches had pitch-location evidence available, providing solid technological backing for these rulings. The consistency of overturned strike calls on Ramírez suggests a potentially tighter strike zone or close calls that required ABS intervention to rectify. While the Rockies did not register any overturned outcomes, these moments underscore how marginal calls can shape game narratives.

Though the available data is limited to just these three challenges with a full pitch-tracking overlay, it’s clear that ABS reviews had a tangible impact on the rhythm and crucial moments of the game. Miami’s selective and timely challenges on strike calls helped them maintain a narrow advantage, contributing directly to their 2-1 victory over Colorado.

Debrief quality