Game 823958

Miami Marlins at Los Angeles Dodgers

UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium

Apr 29, 3:10 PM EDT

Final

Status: Complete

MIA

123456789010010010

LAD

123456789010001000

Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
MIA	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	3	6	0	Challenges remaining: 1
LAD	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	2	7	0	Challenges remaining: 0

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

LAD

MIA

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

LAD3MIA3

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

LAD33%MIA67%

33%

67%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

LAD0%MIA67%

67%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

6 reviewed pitches so far • 3 overturned

Highest Risk Split

LHP vs LHB

RHP vs LHB

67%

3 reviews

ELI 61.7

RHP vs RHB

2 reviews

ELI 53.0

LHP vs LHB

100%

1 review

ELI 60.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Sinker

2 reviews • 50% overturned

Most Active Lane

Top-L

3 reviews • 67% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Bot3 • Los Angeles Dodgers

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 50

Confirmed -18

Count Shift

0-1

Base / Score

Runner on 2nd • Tie 1-1

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.84% EV

Scenario Swing Index-18

RISPLess Than 2 OutsTie Game

OVR 3%EV -0.84%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top5 • Los Angeles Dodgers

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 56

Overturned +25

Count Shift

1-0 → 0-1

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • Tie 1-1

Count Edge

-1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.97% EV

Scenario Swing Index+25

Less Than 2 OutsTie Game

OVR 63%EV +0.97%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot6 • Miami Marlins

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 56

Overturned +25

Count Shift

1-0 → 0-1

Base / Score

1st and 2nd • Tie 2-2

Count Edge

-1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.58% EV

Scenario Swing Index+25

RISPLess Than 2 OutsTie Game

OVR 44%EV -0.58%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot6 • Los Angeles Dodgers

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 56

Confirmed -20

Count Shift

2-2

Base / Score

1st and 3rd • Tie 2-2

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.43% EV

Scenario Swing Index-20

RISPLess Than 2 OutsTie Game

OVR 67%EV -0.43%HIGH RE confidenceMEDIUM OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot7 • Miami Marlins

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 60

Overturned +27

Count Shift

3-1 → 2-2

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • Tie 2-2

Count Edge

-53.7 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.32% EV

Scenario Swing Index+27

Less Than 2 OutsLate & CloseTie Game

OVR 63%EV -0.32%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -17.4 ptsBB -55.6 pts

Bot9 • Miami Marlins

Liam Hicks challenged (pitch result), call on the field was confirmed: Hyeseong Kim walks.

Medium Pressure • ELI 62

Confirmed -22

Count Shift

Walk

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 3-2

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +1.12% EV

Scenario Swing Index-22

Less Than 2 OutsLate & CloseFull Count

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Andy Pages vs Sandy Alcantara

Count Transition

0-1

Result

Call Confirmed

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Runner on 2nd

Bot 3 • Tie 1-1 • 1 out

Home offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Changeup

Velocity

92.6 MPH

Location

-0.59 x, 1.78 z

Umpire Count

0-1

Baseball Consequence

Review confirmed the call and kept the plate appearance at 0-1.

The review did not create a new state; 0-1 situations typically carry +0.00% of win expectancy from this baseline.

Decision Read

Model leaned hold

3% overturn probability and -0.84% expected value at challenge time.