Game 824053

Seattle Mariners at Los Angeles Angels

Angel Stadium

Apr 5, 4:07 PM EDT

Final

Status: Complete

SEA

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LAA

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Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	R	H	E	ABS
SEA	0	2	0	0	3	0	0	0	1	1	0	7	7	1	Challenges remaining: 1
LAA	1	0	1	2	2	0	0	0	0	1	1	8	11	0	Challenges remaining: 1

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

LAA

SEA

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

LAA3SEA6

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

LAA67%SEA83%

67%

83%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

LAA0%SEA50%

50%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

9 reviewed pitches so far • 7 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs LHB

100%

4 reviews

ELI 53.3

LHP vs LHB

50%

2 reviews

ELI 58.0

RHP vs RHB

50%

2 reviews

ELI 70.0

RHP vs SHB

100%

1 review

ELI 46.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Sinker

4 reviews • 75% overturned

Most Active Lane

Mid-R

4 reviews • 75% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Top2 • Seattle Mariners

Cole Young challenged (pitch result), call on the field was overturned: Cole Young walks.

Medium Pressure • ELI 46

Overturned +21

Count Shift

3-2 → Walk

Base / Score

1st and 2nd • 0-1

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.34% EV

Scenario Swing Index+21

RISPLess Than 2 Outs

Top2 • Los Angeles Angels

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 46

Overturned +21

Count Shift

1-0 → 0-1

Base / Score

1st and 2nd • 2-1

Count Edge

-1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.31% EV

Scenario Swing Index+21

RISPLess Than 2 Outs

OVR 63%EV -0.31%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot3 • Seattle Mariners

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 42

Overturned +19

Count Shift

1-0 → 0-1

Base / Score

Runner on 3rd • 2-1

Count Edge

-1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +1.68% EV

Scenario Swing Index+19

RISPLess Than 2 Outs

OVR 63%EV +1.68%MEDIUM RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top5 • Los Angeles Angels

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 57

Confirmed -20

Count Shift

1-0

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 5-4

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -1.70% EV

Scenario Swing Index-20

Two Outs

OVR 98%EV -1.70%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top6 • Seattle Mariners

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 59

Overturned +27

Count Shift

Strikeout → 2-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 5-6

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.15% EV

Scenario Swing Index+27

Less Than 2 Outs

Bot6 • Los Angeles Angels

Jorge Soler challenged (pitch result), call on the field was overturned: Jorge Soler walks.

Medium Pressure • ELI 57

Overturned +26

Count Shift

Strikeout → Walk

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 5-6

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.22% EV

Scenario Swing Index+26

Two OutsFull Count

Bot7 • Seattle Mariners

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 60

Overturned +27

Count Shift

1-0 → 0-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 5-6

Count Edge

-1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -1.58% EV

Scenario Swing Index+27

Less Than 2 OutsLate & Close

OVR 63%EV -1.58%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top8 • Seattle Mariners

Mitch Garver challenged (pitch result), call on the field was confirmed: Mitch Garver called out on strikes.

High Pressure • ELI 65

Confirmed -23

Count Shift

Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 5-6

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.06% EV

Scenario Swing Index-23

Two OutsLate & Close

Bot8 • Seattle Mariners

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 60

Overturned +27

Count Shift

1-0 → 0-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 5-6

Count Edge

-1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -1.72% EV

Scenario Swing Index+27

Less Than 2 OutsLate & Close

OVR 63%EV -1.72%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Cole Young vs George Klassen

Count Transition

3-2 → Walk

Result

Call Overturned

Recorded Challenge

Game State

1st and 2nd

Top 2 • 0-1 • 1 out

Away offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Changeup

Velocity

87.6 MPH

Location

-0.94 x, 2.87 z

Umpire Count

3-2

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from 3-2 to Walk.

Comparable game states move win expectancy by +0.00% from the corrected review state.

Decision Read

Model leaned hold

39% overturn probability and -0.34% expected value at challenge time.