Game 824101
Kauffman Stadium
Jun 11, 2:10 PM EDT
A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.
Team vs Team Outcome Recap
Total Reviews
Raw challenge volume from the completed game.
Overturn Rate
Which club actually won more of its review bets.
One club has a trusted modeled read here while the other side is still below confidence threshold, so compare the available value carefully.
Late / Close Share
How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.
One club has a trusted modeled read here while the other side is still below confidence threshold, so compare the available value carefully.
Tonight's Review Pattern
5 reviewed pitches so far • 4 overturned
Highest Risk Split
RHP vs RHB
RHP vs RHB
100%
2 reviews
ELI 41.5
LHP vs LHB
100%
1 review
ELI 66.0
LHP vs RHB
100%
1 review
ELI 60.0
RHP vs LHB
0%
1 review
ELI 60.0
Most Targeted Pitch
Four-Seam Fastball
3 reviews • 67% overturned
Most Active Lane
Bot-L
2 reviews • 100% overturned
Scenario Timeline
Top2 • Texas Rangers
Medium Pressure • ELI 42
Count Shift
Strikeout → Walk
Base / Score
1st and 2nd • 1-0
Count Edge
No baseline delta
Decision Read
Lean challenge • +0.08% EV
Bot3 • Texas Rangers
Low Pressure • ELI 30
Count Shift
1-0 → 0-1
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 3-0
Count Edge
-1.9 pts
Decision Read
Lean challenge • +2.12% EV
Bot8 • Texas Rangers
Medium Pressure • ELI 59
Count Shift
2-2 → Strikeout
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 4-2
Count Edge
No baseline delta
Decision Read
Lean challenge • +0.66% EV
Top9 • Texas Rangers
Medium Pressure • ELI 60
Count Shift
2-2
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 4-2
Count Edge
+0.0 pts
Decision Read
Lean hold • -0.19% EV
Bot9 • Texas Rangers
Medium Pressure • ELI 60
Count Shift
1-0 → 0-1
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 4-2
Count Edge
-1.9 pts
Decision Read
Lean challenge • +0.00% EV
Pitch Timeline
Mapping Decisions
Challenge Brief
Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.
Focus
Jake Burger vs Michael Wacha
Count Transition
Strikeout → Walk
Result
Call Overturned
Recorded Challenge
Game State
1st and 2nd
Top 2 • 1-0 • 0 outs
Away offense batting
Estimated Leverage
42
Pitch
Cutter
Velocity
91.1 MPH
Location
0.41 x, 1.49 z
Umpire Count
Strikeout
Baseball Consequence
Count changed from Strikeout to Walk.
Comparable game states move win expectancy by +0.00% from the corrected review state.
Decision Read
Model leaned challenge
67% overturn probability and +0.08% expected value at challenge time.