Game 824112

Boston Red Sox at Kansas City Royals

Kauffman Stadium

May 19, 7:40 PM EDT

Final

Status: Complete

BOS

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Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
BOS	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	4	7	15	0	Challenges remaining: 1
KC	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	6	1	Challenges remaining: 1

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

BOS

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

KC3BOS1

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

KC67%BOS0%

67%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

KC33%BOS0%

33%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

4 reviewed pitches so far • 2 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs LHB

LHP vs RHB

33%

3 reviews

ELI 53.3

RHP vs LHB

100%

1 review

ELI 65.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

2 reviews • 50% overturned

Most Active Lane

Bot-R

2 reviews • 50% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Bot1 • Kansas City Royals

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 46

Overturned +21

Count Shift

1-1 → 2-0

Base / Score

1st and 2nd • 1-0

Count Edge

+1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.78% EV

Scenario Swing Index+21

RISPLess Than 2 Outs

OVR 3%EV -0.78%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot4 • Kansas City Royals

Nick Loftin challenged (pitch result), call on the field was confirmed: Nick Loftin called out on strikes.

Medium Pressure • ELI 51

Confirmed -18

Count Shift

Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 2-1

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.22% EV

Scenario Swing Index-18

Two OutsFull Count

Bot6 • Boston Red Sox

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 52

Confirmed -18

Count Shift

1-0

Base / Score

1st and 2nd • 2-1

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.37% EV

Scenario Swing Index-18

RISPLess Than 2 Outs

OVR 63%EV -0.37%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top7 • Kansas City Royals

Called Strike

High Pressure • ELI 65

Overturned +29

Count Shift

1-0 → 0-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 2-1

Count Edge

-1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.83% EV

Scenario Swing Index+29

Two OutsLate & Close

OVR 44%EV -0.83%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Salvador Perez vs Ranger Suarez

Count Transition

1-1 → 2-0

Result

Call Overturned

Recorded Challenge

Game State

1st and 2nd

Bot 1 • 1-0 • 1 out

Home offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Sinker

Velocity

90.5 MPH

Location

0.98 x, 1.54 z

Umpire Count

1-1

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from 1-1 to 2-0.

Comparable game states move win expectancy by +0.00% from the corrected review state.

Decision Read

Model leaned hold

3% overturn probability and -0.78% expected value at challenge time.