Game 824114

Boston Red Sox at Kansas City Royals

Kauffman Stadium

May 18, 7:10 PM EDT

Final

Status: Complete

BOS

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Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
BOS	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	3	9	0	Challenges remaining: 1
KC	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	6	0	Challenges remaining: 1

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

BOS

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

KC3BOS1

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

KC67%BOS0%

67%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

KC33%BOS0%

33%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

4 reviewed pitches so far • 2 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs RHB

100%

2 reviews

ELI 56.0

RHP vs LHB

1 review

ELI 49.0

LHP vs RHB

1 review

ELI 63.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Slider

2 reviews • 50% overturned

Most Active Lane

Top-L

2 reviews • 100% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Top5 • Kansas City Royals

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 56

Overturned +25

Count Shift

1-1 → 0-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

-17.1 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.34% EV

Scenario Swing Index+25

Less Than 2 OutsTie Game

OVR 98%EV -0.34%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -17.7 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top5 • Kansas City Royals

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 56

Overturned +25

Count Shift

1-0 → 0-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

-1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.55% EV

Scenario Swing Index+25

Less Than 2 OutsTie Game

OVR 44%EV +0.55%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot7 • Boston Red Sox

Sonny Gray challenged (pitch result), call on the field was confirmed: Carter Jensen walks.

Medium Pressure • ELI 44

Confirmed -15

Count Shift

Walk

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 3-0

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +1.07% EV

Scenario Swing Index-15

Less Than 2 Outs

Bot9 • Kansas City Royals

Starling Marte challenged (pitch result), call on the field was confirmed: Starling Marte called out on strikes.

Medium Pressure • ELI 56

Confirmed -20

Count Shift

Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 3-1

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.38% EV

Scenario Swing Index-20

Less Than 2 OutsLate & Close

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Connor Wong vs Seth Lugo

Count Transition

1-1 → 0-2

Result

Call Overturned

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Bases Empty

Top 5 • Tie 0-0 • 1 out

Away offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Sweeper

Velocity

79.7 MPH

Location

-0.64 x, 2.93 z

Umpire Count

1-1

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from 1-1 to 0-2.

Comparable game states move win expectancy by -0.33% from the corrected review state.

Decision Read

Model leaned hold

98% overturn probability and -0.34% expected value at challenge time.