Game 824123

Baltimore Orioles at Kansas City Royals

Kauffman Stadium

Apr 22, 2:10 PM EDT

Final

Status: Complete

BAL

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Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
BAL	2	0	0	0	0	6	0	0	0	8	11	1	Challenges remaining: 0
KC	1	0	0	2	0	3	0	0	0	6	10	0	Challenges remaining: 1

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

BAL

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

KC2BAL2

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

KC50%BAL0%

50%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

KC0%BAL100%

100%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

4 reviewed pitches so far • 1 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs LHB

50%

2 reviews

ELI 59.0

RHP vs RHB

2 reviews

ELI 56.5

Most Targeted Pitch

Sweeper

2 reviews • 0% overturned

Most Active Lane

Top-L

2 reviews • 0% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Bot1 • Kansas City Royals

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 51

Overturned +23

Count Shift

1-1 → 2-0

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 2-1

Count Edge

+1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.72% EV

Scenario Swing Index+23

Two Outs

OVR 3%EV -0.72%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top5 • Kansas City Royals

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 48

Confirmed -17

Count Shift

2-0

Base / Score

Runner on 2nd • 2-3

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.34% EV

Scenario Swing Index-17

RISPLess Than 2 Outs

OVR 63%EV -0.34%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top9 • Baltimore Orioles

Gunnar Henderson challenged (pitch result), call on the field was confirmed: Gunnar Henderson called out on strikes.

Medium Pressure • ELI 56

Confirmed -20

Count Shift

Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 8-6

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.41% EV

Scenario Swing Index-20

Less Than 2 OutsLate & CloseFull Count

Bot9 • Baltimore Orioles

Ball

High Pressure • ELI 65

Confirmed -23

Count Shift

1-0

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 8-6

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.15% EV

Scenario Swing Index-23

Two OutsLate & Close

OVR 63%EV -0.15%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Vinnie Pasquantino vs Chris Bassitt

Count Transition

1-1 → 2-0

Result

Call Overturned

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Bases Empty

Bot 1 • 2-1 • 2 outs

Home offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Sinker

Velocity

92.2 MPH

Location

0.01 x, 1.39 z

Umpire Count

1-1

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from 1-1 to 2-0.

Comparable game states move win expectancy by +2.06% from the corrected review state.

Decision Read

Model leaned hold

3% overturn probability and -0.72% expected value at challenge time.