Game 824136

Minnesota Twins at Kansas City Royals

Kauffman Stadium

Apr 1, 7:40 PM EDT

Final

Status: Complete

MIN

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Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
MIN	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	2	3	9	9	1	Challenges remaining: 1
KC	0	3	1	1	0	7	1	0	—	13	15	1	Challenges remaining: 1

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

MIN

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

KC2MIN9

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

KC50%MIN89%

50%

89%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

KC0%MIN0%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

11 reviewed pitches so far • 9 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs RHB

100%

3 reviews

ELI 45.7

LHP vs RHB

100%

3 reviews

ELI 40.3

RHP vs LHB

100%

2 reviews

ELI 43.5

LHP vs SHB

50%

2 reviews

ELI 41.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

7 reviews • 100% overturned

Most Active Lane

Bot-M

4 reviews • 75% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Top1 • Minnesota Twins

Matt Wallner challenged (pitch result), call on the field was confirmed: Matt Wallner called out on strikes.

Medium Pressure • ELI 55

Confirmed -19

Count Shift

Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.40% EV

Scenario Swing Index-19

Two OutsTie GameFull Count

Bot1 • Minnesota Twins

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 50

Overturned +23

Count Shift

3-1 → 2-2

Base / Score

Runner on 2nd • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

-53.7 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +5.03% EV

Scenario Swing Index+23

RISPLess Than 2 OutsTie Game

OVR 98%EV +5.03%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -17.4 ptsBB -55.6 pts

Bot1 • Minnesota Twins

Ryan Jeffers challenged (pitch result), call on the field was overturned: Salvador Perez called out on strikes.

Medium Pressure • ELI 55

Overturned +25

Count Shift

2-2 → Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.21% EV

Scenario Swing Index+25

Two OutsTie Game

Top3 • Minnesota Twins

Ball

Low Pressure • ELI 39

Overturned +18

Count Shift

2-2 → 3-1

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 0-3

Count Edge

+53.7 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.35% EV

Scenario Swing Index+18

Two Outs

OVR 67%EV -0.35%HIGH RE confidenceMEDIUM OVR confidenceAVG +17.4 ptsBB +55.6 pts

Top4 • Kansas City Royals

Salvador Perez challenged (pitch result), call on the field was overturned: Luke Keaschall called out on strikes.

Low Pressure • ELI 24

Overturned +11

Count Shift

Walk → Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 0-4

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.53% EV

Scenario Swing Index+11

Less Than 2 OutsFull Count

Bot5 • Minnesota Twins

Ryan Jeffers challenged (pitch result), call on the field was overturned: Vinnie Pasquantino called out on strikes.

Low Pressure • ELI 30

Overturned +14

Count Shift

3-2 → Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 1-5

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.06% EV

Scenario Swing Index+14

Less Than 2 Outs

Top6 • Minnesota Twins

Ball

Low Pressure • ELI 30

Overturned +14

Count Shift

0-1 → 1-0

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 1-5

Count Edge

+1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.85% EV

Scenario Swing Index+14

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 3%EV -0.85%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top7 • Kansas City Royals

Ball

Low Pressure • ELI 38

Confirmed -13

Count Shift

3-0

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 1-12

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.11% EV

Scenario Swing Index-13

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 63%EV -0.11%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top7 • Minnesota Twins

Austin Martin challenged (pitch result), call on the field was overturned: Austin Martin walks. Josh Bell scores. Royce Lewis to 3rd. Brooks Lee to 2nd.

Medium Pressure • ELI 42

Overturned +19

Count Shift

3-1 → Walk

Base / Score

Bases Loaded • 2-12

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.47% EV

Scenario Swing Index+19

RISPLess Than 2 OutsBases Loaded

Top8 • Minnesota Twins

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 45

Overturned +20

Count Shift

Strikeout → 3-2

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 4-13

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.15% EV

Scenario Swing Index+20

Less Than 2 Outs

Top9 • Minnesota Twins

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 44

Overturned +20

Count Shift

0-1 → 1-0

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 9-13

Count Edge

+1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.04% EV

Scenario Swing Index+20

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 67%EV -0.04%HIGH RE confidenceMEDIUM OVR confidenceAVG +1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Matt Wallner vs Noah Cameron

Count Transition

Strikeout

Result

Call Confirmed

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Bases Empty

Top 1 • Tie 0-0 • 2 outs

Away offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Cutter

Velocity

90.2 MPH

Location

0.16 x, 3.41 z

Umpire Count

Strikeout

Baseball Consequence

Review confirmed the call and kept the plate appearance at Strikeout.

The review did not create a new state; Strikeout situations typically carry +0.00% of win expectancy from this baseline.

Decision Read

Model leaned hold

39% overturn probability and -0.40% expected value at challenge time.