Game 824183
Daikin Park
Jun 7, 2:10 PM EDT
A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.
Team vs Team Outcome Recap
Total Reviews
Raw challenge volume from the completed game.
Overturn Rate
Which club actually won more of its review bets.
Late / Close Share
How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.
Tonight's Review Pattern
3 reviewed pitches so far • 1 overturned
Highest Risk Split
LHP vs RHB
LHP vs RHB
100%
1 review
ELI 55.0
RHP vs LHB
0%
1 review
ELI 40.0
LHP vs LHB
0%
1 review
ELI 39.0
Most Targeted Pitch
Curveball
1 reviews • 100% overturned
Most Active Lane
Bot-L
2 reviews • 50% overturned
Scenario Timeline
Top4 • Houston Astros
Medium Pressure • ELI 40
Count Shift
3-2
Base / Score
1st and 2nd • 4-0
Count Edge
+0.0 pts
Decision Read
Lean challenge • +0.17% EV
Bot5 • Houston Astros
Low Pressure • ELI 39
Count Shift
0-2
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 5-0
Count Edge
+0.0 pts
Decision Read
Lean hold • -0.86% EV
Bot9 • Oakland Athletics
Medium Pressure • ELI 48
Count Shift
3-2 → Strikeout
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 5-0
Count Edge
No baseline delta
Decision Read
Lean challenge • +0.51% EV
Pitch Timeline
Mapping Decisions
Challenge Brief
Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.
Focus
Carlos Cortes vs Mike Burrows
Count Transition
3-2
Result
Call Confirmed
Recorded Challenge
Game State
1st and 2nd
Top 4 • 4-0 • 2 outs
Away offense batting
Estimated Leverage
40
Pitch
Changeup
Velocity
87.2 MPH
Location
-0.45 x, 1.35 z
Umpire Count
3-2
Baseball Consequence
Review confirmed the call and kept the plate appearance at 3-2.
The review did not create a new state; 3-2 situations typically carry +0.00% of win expectancy from this baseline.
Decision Read
Model leaned challenge
63% overturn probability and +0.17% expected value at challenge time.