Game 824187

Milwaukee Brewers at Houston Astros

Daikin Park

May 31, 2:10 PM EDT

Final

Status: Complete

MIL

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HOU

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Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
MIL	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	4	0	Challenges remaining: 2
HOU	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	Challenges remaining: 1

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

HOU

MIL

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

HOU3MIL2

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

HOU67%MIL100%

67%

100%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

HOU33%MIL50%

33%

50%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

5 reviewed pitches so far • 4 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs LHB

RHP vs RHB

75%

4 reviews

ELI 48.8

RHP vs LHB

100%

1 review

ELI 56.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

3 reviews • 67% overturned

Most Active Lane

Top-R

2 reviews • 50% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Bot1 • Houston Astros

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 55

Overturned +25

Count Shift

1-1 → 2-0

Base / Score

Bases Empty • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

+1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.08% EV

Scenario Swing Index+25

Two OutsTie Game

OVR 67%EV -0.08%HIGH RE confidenceMEDIUM OVR confidenceAVG +1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top3 • Houston Astros

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 50

Confirmed -18

Count Shift

1-0

Base / Score

1st and 3rd • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.02% EV

Scenario Swing Index-18

RISPLess Than 2 OutsTie Game

OVR 98%EV -0.02%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top4 • Milwaukee Brewers

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 40

Overturned +18

Count Shift

1-2 → 2-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 2-0

Count Edge

+17.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -3.90% EV

Scenario Swing Index+18

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 67%EV -3.90%HIGH RE confidenceMEDIUM OVR confidenceAVG +17.5 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot7 • Houston Astros

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 50

Overturned +23

Count Shift

1-2 → 2-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 2-0

Count Edge

+17.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +2.43% EV

Scenario Swing Index+23

Less Than 2 OutsLate & Close

OVR 67%EV +2.43%HIGH RE confidenceMEDIUM OVR confidenceAVG +17.5 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top9 • Milwaukee Brewers

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 56

Overturned +25

Count Shift

1-1 → 2-0

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 2-0

Count Edge

+1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.15% EV

Scenario Swing Index+25

Less Than 2 OutsLate & Close

OVR 39%EV -0.15%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Christian Walker vs Jacob Misiorowski

Count Transition

1-1 → 2-0

Result

Call Overturned

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Bases Empty

Bot 1 • Tie 0-0 • 2 outs

Home offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

Velocity

102.3 MPH

Location

0.83 x, 2.03 z

Umpire Count

1-1

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from 1-1 to 2-0.

Comparable game states move win expectancy by +0.29% from the corrected review state.

Decision Read

Model leaned hold

67% overturn probability and -0.08% expected value at challenge time.