Game 824188

Pittsburgh Pirates at Houston Astros

Daikin Park

Jun 3, 8:10 PM EDT

Final

Status: Complete

PIT

123456789000401310

HOU

12345678900201026—

Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
PIT	0	0	0	4	0	1	3	1	0	9	12	2	Challenges remaining: 0
HOU	0	0	2	0	1	0	2	6	—	11	14	0	Challenges remaining: 0

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

HOU

PIT

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

HOU3PIT1

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

HOU33%PIT0%

33%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

HOU33%PIT0%

33%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

4 reviewed pitches so far • 1 overturned

Highest Risk Split

LHP vs RHB

50%

2 reviews

ELI 59.0

RHP vs LHB

1 review

ELI 50.0

RHP vs RHB

1 review

ELI 56.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Curveball

2 reviews • 0% overturned

Most Active Lane

Bot-R

3 reviews • 0% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Top3 • Pittsburgh Pirates

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 50

Confirmed -18

Count Shift

2-1

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +1.43% EV

Scenario Swing Index-18

Less Than 2 OutsTie Game

OVR 67%EV +1.43%HIGH RE confidenceMEDIUM OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top4 • Houston Astros

Christian Vázquez challenged (pitch result), call on the field was confirmed: Jared Triolo walks. Marcell Ozuna to 3rd. Jhostynxon Garcia to 2nd.

Medium Pressure • ELI 45

Confirmed -16

Count Shift

Walk

Base / Score

Bases Loaded • 0-2

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +1.00% EV

Scenario Swing Index-16

RISPTwo OutsBases LoadedFull Count

Top6 • Houston Astros

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 46

Overturned +21

Count Shift

2-1 → 1-2

Base / Score

1st and 2nd • 5-3

Count Edge

-17.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.38% EV

Scenario Swing Index+21

RISPLess Than 2 Outs

OVR 63%EV -0.38%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -17.5 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top9 • Houston Astros

Ball

High Pressure • ELI 72

Confirmed -25

Count Shift

3-2

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 9-11

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +1.72% EV

Scenario Swing Index-25

Two OutsLate & Close

OVR 98%EV +1.72%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Spencer Horwitz vs Spencer Arrighetti

Count Transition

2-1

Result

Call Confirmed

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Runner on 1st

Top 3 • Tie 0-0 • 1 out

Away offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Curveball

Velocity

76.7 MPH

Location

0.77 x, 1.50 z

Umpire Count

2-1

Baseball Consequence

Review confirmed the call and kept the plate appearance at 2-1.

The review did not create a new state; 2-1 situations typically carry +0.00% of win expectancy from this baseline.

Decision Read

Model leaned challenge

67% overturn probability and +1.43% expected value at challenge time.