Game 824192

Texas Rangers at Houston Astros

Daikin Park

May 17, 2:10 PM EDT

Final

Status: Complete

TEX

123456789000020501

HOU

123456789000000000

Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
TEX	0	0	0	0	2	0	5	0	1	8	7	0	Challenges remaining: 2
HOU	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5	0	Challenges remaining: 2

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

HOU

TEX

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

HOU1TEX4

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

HOU100%TEX100%

100%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

HOU0%TEX0%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

5 reviewed pitches so far • 5 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs RHB

100%

3 reviews

ELI 45.7

RHP vs LHB

100%

2 reviews

ELI 49.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

2 reviews • 100% overturned

Most Active Lane

Bot-L

2 reviews • 100% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Bot5 • Texas Rangers

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 51

Overturned +23

Count Shift

2-1 → 1-2

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 2-0

Count Edge

-17.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.26% EV

Scenario Swing Index+23

Two Outs

OVR 63%EV -0.26%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -17.5 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot6 • Texas Rangers

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 51

Overturned +23

Count Shift

2-1 → 1-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 2-0

Count Edge

-17.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -1.99% EV

Scenario Swing Index+23

Two Outs

OVR 44%EV -1.99%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -17.5 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top7 • Texas Rangers

Ball

Low Pressure • ELI 38

Overturned +17

Count Shift

0-2 → 1-1

Base / Score

2nd and 3rd • 4-0

Count Edge

+17.1 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +10.08% EV

Scenario Swing Index+17

RISPLess Than 2 Outs

OVR 39%EV +10.08%MEDIUM RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +17.7 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top8 • Texas Rangers

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 47

Overturned +21

Count Shift

0-1 → 1-0

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 7-0

Count Edge

+1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.64% EV

Scenario Swing Index+21

Two Outs

OVR 39%EV -0.64%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top9 • Houston Astros

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 48

Overturned +22

Count Shift

2-0 → 1-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 7-0

Count Edge

-1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.16% EV

Scenario Swing Index+22

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 63%EV -0.16%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Nick Allen vs Nathan Eovaldi

Count Transition

2-1 → 1-2

Result

Call Overturned

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Runner on 1st

Bot 5 • 2-0 • 2 outs

Home offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

Velocity

95.3 MPH

Location

0.49 x, 1.44 z

Umpire Count

2-1

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from 2-1 to 1-2.

Comparable game states move win expectancy by +0.00% from the corrected review state.

Decision Read

Model leaned hold

63% overturn probability and -0.26% expected value at challenge time.