Game 824201

Los Angeles Dodgers at Houston Astros

Daikin Park

May 4, 8:10 PM EDT

Final

Status: Complete

LAD

123456789124010000

HOU

123456789200010000

Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
LAD	1	2	4	0	1	0	0	0	0	8	13	0	Challenges remaining: 2
HOU	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	3	6	1	Challenges remaining: 1

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

HOU

LAD

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

HOU3LAD0

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

Mixed ConfidenceHOU67%LADN/A

One club has a trusted modeled read here while the other side is still below confidence threshold, so compare the available value carefully.

67%

N/A

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

Mixed ConfidenceHOU0%LADN/A

One club has a trusted modeled read here while the other side is still below confidence threshold, so compare the available value carefully.

N/A

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

3 reviewed pitches so far • 2 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs LHB

RHP vs RHB

50%

2 reviews

ELI 32.5

RHP vs LHB

100%

1 review

ELI 54.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Splitter

1 reviews • 100% overturned

Most Active Lane

Bot-R

1 reviews • 100% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Top4 • Houston Astros

Ball

Low Pressure • ELI 24

Confirmed -8

Count Shift

3-0

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 7-2

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -1.98% EV

Scenario Swing Index-8

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 63%EV -1.98%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot6 • Houston Astros

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 41

Overturned +18

Count Shift

Strikeout → 3-2

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 8-3

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.88% EV

Scenario Swing Index+18

Less Than 2 Outs

Top8 • Houston Astros

Christian Vázquez challenged (pitch result), call on the field was overturned: Max Muncy called out on strikes.

Medium Pressure • ELI 47

Overturned +21

Count Shift

2-2 → Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 8-3

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.81% EV

Scenario Swing Index+21

Two Outs

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Teoscar Hernández vs Ryan Weiss

Count Transition

3-0

Result

Call Confirmed

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Bases Empty

Top 4 • 7-2 • 0 outs

Away offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Sinker

Velocity

91.7 MPH

Location

-0.03 x, 3.38 z

Umpire Count

3-0

Baseball Consequence

Review confirmed the call and kept the plate appearance at 3-0.

The review did not create a new state; 3-0 situations typically carry +0.00% of win expectancy from this baseline.

Decision Read

Model leaned hold

63% overturn probability and -1.98% expected value at challenge time.