Game 824204
Daikin Park
Apr 24, 8:10 PM EDT
A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.
Team vs Team Outcome Recap
Total Reviews
Raw challenge volume from the completed game.
Overturn Rate
Which club actually won more of its review bets.
Late / Close Share
How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.
Tonight's Review Pattern
7 reviewed pitches so far • 4 overturned
Highest Risk Split
RHP vs RHB
RHP vs RHB
67%
3 reviews
ELI 39.7
RHP vs LHB
50%
2 reviews
ELI 50.5
LHP vs RHB
50%
2 reviews
ELI 41.0
Most Targeted Pitch
Cutter
2 reviews • 50% overturned
Most Active Lane
Top-L
2 reviews • 100% overturned
Scenario Timeline
Top1 • Houston Astros
Medium Pressure • ELI 42
Count Shift
2-1 → 1-2
Base / Score
Bases Loaded • 1-0
Count Edge
-17.0 pts
Decision Read
Lean challenge • +1.31% EV
Top2 • Houston Astros
Low Pressure • ELI 33
Count Shift
Walk
Base / Score
Runner on 1st • 4-0
Count Edge
No baseline delta
Decision Read
Lean hold • -0.07% EV
Top2 • New York Yankees
Low Pressure • ELI 33
Count Shift
2-2 → 3-1
Base / Score
Runner on 1st • 4-0
Count Edge
+53.7 pts
Decision Read
Lean hold • -0.72% EV
Bot7 • New York Yankees
Medium Pressure • ELI 42
Count Shift
1-1 → 0-2
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 12-3
Count Edge
-17.1 pts
Decision Read
Lean challenge • +0.60% EV
Bot8 • New York Yankees
Low Pressure • ELI 38
Count Shift
3-1 → 2-2
Base / Score
Runner on 1st • 12-4
Count Edge
-53.7 pts
Decision Read
Lean hold • -0.17% EV
Top9 • New York Yankees
Medium Pressure • ELI 48
Count Shift
Strikeout
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 12-4
Count Edge
No baseline delta
Decision Read
Lean hold • -0.10% EV
Bot9 • New York Yankees
Medium Pressure • ELI 44
Count Shift
2-0
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 12-4
Count Edge
+0.0 pts
Decision Read
Lean hold • -0.18% EV
Pitch Timeline
Mapping Decisions
Challenge Brief
Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.
Focus
Ben Rice vs Lance McCullers Jr.
Count Transition
2-1 → 1-2
Result
Call Overturned
Recorded Challenge
Game State
Bases Loaded
Top 1 • 1-0 • 0 outs
Away offense batting
Estimated Leverage
42
Pitch
Cutter
Velocity
90.0 MPH
Location
-0.55 x, 3.38 z
Umpire Count
2-1
Baseball Consequence
Count changed from 2-1 to 1-2.
Comparable game states move run expectancy by +0.360 from the corrected review state.
Decision Read
Model leaned challenge
44% overturn probability and +1.31% expected value at challenge time.