Game 824212

Boston Red Sox at Houston Astros

Daikin Park

Apr 1, 12:10 AM UTC

Game Live

In Progress

Count0-1

Outs

Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
BOS	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	0	0	0	Challenges remaining: 1
HOU	1	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	1	3	0	Challenges remaining: 2

Feed delayed. Showing last known state.

LiveUpdated 21h ago

Challenge cadence (last 10m)

InningTop 3

Count0-1

Outs2

Score0 - 1

Away ABS1

Home ABS2

Inning 3·2 Outs·Base state: 000·No challenge drama at this state yet

Live Review Pulse • Live

Estimated Leverage

51ELI

Medium Pressure through inning 3

Home leads • Count 0-1 • 2 outs

Away (0)

Home (1)

HOU remaining2

BOS remaining1

Current Review Spot

Challenge Now?

Top 3 • Bases Empty • 0-1

Estimated Leverage51

0-1 • MEDIUM

Next Ball Path

1-1

53% overturn

Next Strike Path

0-2

45% overturn

Current Run State

0.089

Current decision backdrop

Largest Available Review Swing

Called strike overturned to 1-1

Run Swing

+0.017

This path has the biggest swing on the board, but the model would still hold the challenge here. Estimated decision value: -2.86%.

Live Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Challenge Split

HOU

BOS

Reviews Used

How aggressively each club has entered the ABS game so far.

HOU1BOS1

Overturn Rate

Who has turned reviews into wins more often tonight.

HOU100%BOS0%

100%

Average Leverage

Whether those reviews have come in louder spots or quieter ones.

HOU55.0BOS46.0

55.0

46.0

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Top1 • Houston Astros

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 55

Overturned +40

Count Shift

2-0 → 1-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

+0.9 pts

Decision Read

Challenge • +2.38% EV

Scenario Swing Index+40

Two OutsTie Game

OVR 53%EV +2.38%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +1.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Top3 • Boston Red Sox

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 46

Confirmed -16

Count Shift

0-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 0-1

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Hold • +0.11% EV

Scenario Swing Index-16

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 53%EV +0.11%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Call was confirmed after review.

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

2 reviewed pitches so far • 1 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs RHB

50%

2 reviews

ELI 50.5

Most Targeted Pitch

Sinker

2 reviews • 50% overturned

Most Active Lane

Bot-R

1 reviews • 100% overturned

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Willson Contreras vs Hunter Brown

Count Transition

2-0 → 1-1

Result

Call Overturned

Count Changed

Game State

Bases Empty

Top 1 • Tie 0-0 • 2 outs

Away offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Sinker

Velocity

95.7 MPH

Location

0.33 x, 1.73 z

Count Before

2-0

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from 2-0 to 1-1.

Comparable game states move run expectancy by -0.040 from this review state.

Decision Read

Model favored a challenge

53% overturn probability and +2.38% expected value at challenge time.