Game 824215

Los Angeles Angels at Houston Astros

Daikin Park

Mar 29, 2:10 PM EDT

Final

Status: Complete

LAA

123456789004200001

HOU

12345678904002003—

Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
LAA	0	0	4	2	0	0	0	0	1	7	7	1	Challenges remaining: 1
HOU	0	4	0	0	2	0	0	3	—	9	7	0	Challenges remaining: 1

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

HOU

LAA

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

HOU1LAA3

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

HOU0%LAA67%

67%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

HOU100%LAA0%

100%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

4 reviewed pitches so far • 2 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs RHB

67%

3 reviews

ELI 55.3

LHP vs SHB

1 review

ELI 72.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

4 reviews • 50% overturned

Most Active Lane

Top-R

2 reviews • 0% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Top1 • Los Angeles Angels

Mike Trout challenged (pitch result), call on the field was confirmed: Mike Trout called out on strikes.

Medium Pressure • ELI 46

Confirmed -16

Count Shift

Strikeout

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.39% EV

Scenario Swing Index-16

Less Than 2 OutsTie Game

Top9 • Los Angeles Angels

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 54

Overturned +24

Count Shift

0-1 → 1-0

Base / Score

1st and 2nd • 6-9

Count Edge

+1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.62% EV

Scenario Swing Index+24

RISPLess Than 2 Outs

OVR 3%EV -0.62%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top9 • Los Angeles Angels

Mike Trout challenged (pitch result), call on the field was overturned: Mike Trout walks.

Medium Pressure • ELI 54

Overturned +24

Count Shift

3-2 → Walk

Base / Score

1st and 2nd • 6-9

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.36% EV

Scenario Swing Index+24

RISPLess Than 2 Outs

Top9 • Houston Astros

Ball

High Pressure • ELI 72

Confirmed -25

Count Shift

2-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 7-9

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.82% EV

Scenario Swing Index-25

Two OutsLate & Close

OVR 63%EV +0.82%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Mike Trout vs Tatsuya Imai

Count Transition

Strikeout

Result

Call Confirmed

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Runner on 1st

Top 1 • Tie 0-0 • 0 outs

Away offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

Velocity

95.3 MPH

Location

0.79 x, 3.19 z

Umpire Count

Strikeout

Baseball Consequence

Review confirmed the call and kept the plate appearance at Strikeout.

The review did not create a new state; Strikeout situations typically carry +0.00% of win expectancy from this baseline.

Decision Read

Model leaned hold

39% overturn probability and -0.39% expected value at challenge time.