Game 824267

Minnesota Twins at Detroit Tigers

Comerica Park

Jun 9, 6:40 PM EDT

Final

Status: Complete

MIN

123456789101020000

DET

12345678911102320—

Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
MIN	1	0	1	0	2	0	0	0	0	4	10	0	Challenges remaining: 1
DET	1	1	1	0	2	3	2	0	—	10	10	0	Challenges remaining: 2

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

DET

MIN

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

DET1MIN5

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

DET100%MIN80%

100%

80%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

DET0%MIN0%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

6 reviewed pitches so far • 5 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs RHB

100%

2 reviews

ELI 40.0

LHP vs LHB

50%

2 reviews

ELI 47.5

RHP vs SHB

100%

1 review

ELI 63.0

LHP vs SHB

100%

1 review

ELI 42.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

4 reviews • 100% overturned

Most Active Lane

Bot-L

2 reviews • 100% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Bot4 • Minnesota Twins

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 42

Overturned +19

Count Shift

1-1 → 0-2

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 2-3

Count Edge

-17.1 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +4.05% EV

Scenario Swing Index+19

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 98%EV +4.05%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -17.7 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top5 • Detroit Tigers

Dillon Dingler challenged (pitch result), call on the field was overturned: Josh Bell called out on strikes.

Medium Pressure • ELI 52

Overturned +23

Count Shift

Walk → Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 4-3

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.31% EV

Scenario Swing Index+23

Less Than 2 OutsFull Count

Bot6 • Minnesota Twins

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 52

Overturned +23

Count Shift

3-1 → 2-2

Base / Score

1st and 3rd • 4-5

Count Edge

-53.7 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.56% EV

Scenario Swing Index+23

RISPLess Than 2 Outs

OVR 44%EV -0.56%MEDIUM RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -17.4 ptsBB -55.6 pts

Top7 • Minnesota Twins

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 42

Overturned +19

Count Shift

0-1 → 1-0

Base / Score

1st and 2nd • 4-8

Count Edge

+1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.45% EV

Scenario Swing Index+19

RISPLess Than 2 Outs

OVR 3%EV -0.45%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot7 • Minnesota Twins

Victor Caratini challenged (pitch result), call on the field was confirmed: Riley Greene walks.

Low Pressure • ELI 38

Confirmed -13

Count Shift

Walk

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 4-8

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.43% EV

Scenario Swing Index-13

Less Than 2 Outs

Top8 • Minnesota Twins

Ball

Low Pressure • ELI 38

Overturned +17

Count Shift

2-1 → 3-0

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 4-10

Count Edge

+61.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.55% EV

Scenario Swing Index+17

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 3%EV -0.55%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +5.9 ptsBB +90.1 pts

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Matt Vierling vs Taj Bradley

Count Transition

1-1 → 0-2

Result

Call Overturned

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Runner on 1st

Bot 4 • 2-3 • 0 outs

Home offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

Velocity

97.2 MPH

Location

-0.55 x, 1.75 z

Umpire Count

1-1

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from 1-1 to 0-2.

Comparable game states move win expectancy by +4.15% from the corrected review state.

Decision Read

Model leaned challenge

98% overturn probability and +4.05% expected value at challenge time.