Game 824268

Seattle Mariners at Detroit Tigers

Comerica Park

Jun 7, 1:40 PM EDT

Final

Status: Complete

SEA

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DET

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Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
SEA	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	0	0	4	11	1	Challenges remaining: 0
DET	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	0	2	5	6	1	Challenges remaining: 0

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

DET

SEA

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

DET6SEA3

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

DET67%SEA33%

67%

33%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

DET17%SEA0%

17%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

9 reviewed pitches so far • 5 overturned

Highest Risk Split

LHP vs RHB

RHP vs LHB

75%

4 reviews

ELI 52.3

RHP vs RHB

25%

4 reviews

ELI 57.8

LHP vs RHB

100%

1 review

ELI 51.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

6 reviews • 50% overturned

Most Active Lane

Top-R

3 reviews • 33% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Top1 • Detroit Tigers

Dillon Dingler challenged (pitch result), call on the field was overturned: Josh Naylor called out on strikes.

Medium Pressure • ELI 55

Overturned +25

Count Shift

3-2 → Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.22% EV

Scenario Swing Index+25

Two OutsTie Game

Top1 • Detroit Tigers

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 55

Overturned +25

Count Shift

3-1 → 2-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

-53.7 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +1.64% EV

Scenario Swing Index+25

Two OutsTie Game

OVR 98%EV +1.64%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -17.4 ptsBB -55.6 pts

Bot1 • Detroit Tigers

Gleyber Torres challenged (pitch result), call on the field was confirmed: Gleyber Torres called out on strikes.

Medium Pressure • ELI 55

Confirmed -19

Count Shift

Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.40% EV

Scenario Swing Index-19

Two OutsTie Game

Top3 • Seattle Mariners

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 46

Overturned +21

Count Shift

0-2 → 1-1

Base / Score

Runner on 2nd • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

+17.1 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.87% EV

Scenario Swing Index+21

RISPLess Than 2 OutsTie Game

OVR 3%EV -0.87%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +17.7 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top4 • Seattle Mariners

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 42

Confirmed -15

Count Shift

1-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 1-0

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +1.64% EV

Scenario Swing Index-15

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 39%EV +1.64%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot4 • Detroit Tigers

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 62

Overturned +28

Count Shift

Strikeout → 2-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • Tie 1-1

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean hold • -1.10% EV

Scenario Swing Index+28

Two OutsTie Game

Bot6 • Seattle Mariners

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 46

Confirmed -16

Count Shift

3-1

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 3-1

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.02% EV

Scenario Swing Index-16

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 98%EV -0.02%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot6 • Detroit Tigers

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 51

Overturned +23

Count Shift

0-2 → 1-1

Base / Score

Bases Loaded • 3-1

Count Edge

+17.1 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -1.02% EV

Scenario Swing Index+23

RISPTwo OutsBases Loaded

OVR 3%EV -1.02%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +17.7 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top7 • Detroit Tigers

Dillon Dingler challenged (pitch result), call on the field was confirmed: Julio Rodríguez walks.

Medium Pressure • ELI 54

Confirmed -19

Count Shift

Walk

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 3-1

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.24% EV

Scenario Swing Index-19

Less Than 2 OutsLate & CloseFull Count

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Josh Naylor vs Jack Flaherty

Count Transition

3-2 → Strikeout

Result

Call Overturned

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Bases Empty

Top 1 • Tie 0-0 • 2 outs

Away offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

Velocity

95.1 MPH

Location

0.63 x, 1.64 z

Umpire Count

3-2

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from 3-2 to Strikeout.

Comparable game states move win expectancy by +0.53% from the corrected review state.

Decision Read

Model leaned challenge

98% overturn probability and +0.22% expected value at challenge time.