Game 824274

Cleveland Guardians at Detroit Tigers

Comerica Park

May 21, 1:10 PM EDT

Final

Status: Complete

CLE

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DET

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Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
CLE	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	6	0	Challenges remaining: 1
DET	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	6	0	Challenges remaining: 2

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

DET

CLE

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

DET0CLE7

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

Mixed ConfidenceDETN/ACLE86%

One club has a trusted modeled read here while the other side is still below confidence threshold, so compare the available value carefully.

N/A

86%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

Mixed ConfidenceDETN/ACLE43%

One club has a trusted modeled read here while the other side is still below confidence threshold, so compare the available value carefully.

N/A

43%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

7 reviewed pitches so far • 6 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs RHB

100%

2 reviews

ELI 58.0

LHP vs RHB

50%

2 reviews

ELI 53.5

LHP vs SHB

100%

1 review

ELI 46.0

RHP vs SHB

100%

1 review

ELI 58.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

4 reviews • 75% overturned

Most Active Lane

Bot-L

2 reviews • 100% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Bot2 • Cleveland Guardians

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 46

Overturned +21

Count Shift

2-1 → 1-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

-17.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.03% EV

Scenario Swing Index+21

Less Than 2 OutsTie Game

OVR 63%EV -0.03%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -17.5 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot2 • Cleveland Guardians

Patrick Bailey challenged (pitch result), call on the field was overturned: Hao-Yu Lee called out on strikes.

Medium Pressure • ELI 50

Overturned +23

Count Shift

3-2 → Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.04% EV

Scenario Swing Index+23

Less Than 2 OutsTie Game

Top5 • Cleveland Guardians

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 58

Overturned +26

Count Shift

Strikeout → 3-2

Base / Score

Runner on 2nd • 2-0

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.06% EV

Scenario Swing Index+26

RISPTwo Outs

Top6 • Cleveland Guardians

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 51

Overturned +23

Count Shift

1-2 → 2-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 2-0

Count Edge

+17.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -1.45% EV

Scenario Swing Index+23

Two Outs

OVR 39%EV -1.45%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +17.5 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot7 • Cleveland Guardians

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 50

Overturned +23

Count Shift

1-0 → 0-1

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 2-0

Count Edge

-1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.28% EV

Scenario Swing Index+23

Less Than 2 OutsLate & Close

OVR 44%EV -0.28%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot8 • Cleveland Guardians

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 50

Confirmed -18

Count Shift

1-0

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 3-1

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.53% EV

Scenario Swing Index-18

Less Than 2 OutsLate & Close

OVR 63%EV -0.53%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot9 • Cleveland Guardians

Called Strike

High Pressure • ELI 65

Overturned +29

Count Shift

1-0 → 0-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 3-1

Count Edge

-1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.20% EV

Scenario Swing Index+29

Two OutsLate & Close

OVR 44%EV -0.20%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Wenceel Pérez vs Joey Cantillo

Count Transition

2-1 → 1-2

Result

Call Overturned

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Bases Empty

Bot 2 • Tie 0-0 • 0 outs

Home offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

Velocity

91.7 MPH

Location

-0.55 x, 1.53 z

Umpire Count

2-1

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from 2-1 to 1-2.

Comparable game states move win expectancy by +0.43% from the corrected review state.

Decision Read

Model leaned hold

63% overturn probability and -0.03% expected value at challenge time.