Game 824277

Cleveland Guardians at Detroit Tigers

Comerica Park

May 18, 6:40 PM EDT

Final

Status: Complete

CLE

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DET

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Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
CLE	0	0	2	0	2	3	0	0	1	8	9	0	Challenges remaining: 1
DET	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	5	0	Challenges remaining: 1

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

DET

CLE

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

DET3CLE1

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

DET67%CLE0%

67%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

DET0%CLE0%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

4 reviewed pitches so far • 2 overturned

Highest Risk Split

LHP vs RHB

100%

2 reviews

ELI 44.5

RHP vs RHB

1 review

ELI 45.0

RHP vs LHB

1 review

ELI 60.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

3 reviews • 33% overturned

Most Active Lane

Bot-L

1 reviews • 100% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Top5 • Detroit Tigers

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 45

Overturned +20

Count Shift

3-1 → 2-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 4-1

Count Edge

-53.7 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.75% EV

Scenario Swing Index+20

Two Outs

OVR 44%EV -0.75%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -17.4 ptsBB -55.6 pts

Top8 • Detroit Tigers

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 45

Confirmed -16

Count Shift

2-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 7-1

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.08% EV

Scenario Swing Index-16

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 44%EV +0.08%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top9 • Detroit Tigers

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 44

Overturned +20

Count Shift

1-0 → 0-1

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 8-2

Count Edge

-1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.09% EV

Scenario Swing Index+20

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 63%EV -0.09%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot9 • Cleveland Guardians

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 60

Confirmed -21

Count Shift

3-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 8-2

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.40% EV

Scenario Swing Index-21

Two Outs

OVR 63%EV +0.40%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

David Fry vs Framber Valdez

Count Transition

3-1 → 2-2

Result

Call Overturned

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Bases Empty

Top 5 • 4-1 • 2 outs

Away offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Changeup

Velocity

89.0 MPH

Location

-0.31 x, 1.52 z

Umpire Count

3-1

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from 3-1 to 2-2.

Comparable game states move win expectancy by -0.87% from the corrected review state.

Decision Read

Model leaned hold

44% overturn probability and -0.75% expected value at challenge time.