Game 824289

Kansas City Royals at Detroit Tigers

Comerica Park

Apr 16, 1:10 PM EDT

Final

Status: Complete

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DET

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Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
KC	0	0	0	1	0	1	6	0	1	9	13	0	Challenges remaining: 1
DET	0	1	0	1	4	0	1	0	3	10	14	0	Challenges remaining: 2

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

DET

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

DET2KC2

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

DET100%KC50%

100%

50%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

DET50%KC0%

50%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

4 reviewed pitches so far • 3 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs LHB

100%

2 reviews

ELI 51.5

LHP vs LHB

50%

2 reviews

ELI 46.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Sinker

2 reviews • 50% overturned

Most Active Lane

Bot-L

1 reviews • 100% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Bot1 • Detroit Tigers

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 46

Overturned +21

Count Shift

1-2 → 2-1

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

+17.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +2.03% EV

Scenario Swing Index+21

Less Than 2 OutsTie Game

OVR 39%EV +2.03%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +17.5 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot1 • Kansas City Royals

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 46

Confirmed -16

Count Shift

3-1

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.11% EV

Scenario Swing Index-16

Less Than 2 OutsTie Game

OVR 63%EV +0.11%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top3 • Kansas City Royals

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 42

Overturned +19

Count Shift

0-1 → 1-0

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 0-1

Count Edge

+1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -1.24% EV

Scenario Swing Index+19

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 3%EV -1.24%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot9 • Detroit Tigers

Kevin McGonigle challenged (pitch result), call on the field was overturned: Kevin McGonigle walks. Gleyber Torres to 2nd.

Medium Pressure • ELI 56

Overturned +25

Count Shift

3-2 → Walk

Base / Score

1st and 2nd • 9-7

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.34% EV

Scenario Swing Index+25

RISPLess Than 2 OutsLate & Close

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Kevin McGonigle vs Kris Bubic

Count Transition

1-2 → 2-1

Result

Call Overturned

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Runner on 1st

Bot 1 • Tie 0-0 • 0 outs

Home offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Slider

Velocity

84.3 MPH

Location

-0.53 x, 1.32 z

Umpire Count

1-2

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from 1-2 to 2-1.

Comparable game states move win expectancy by +6.48% from the corrected review state.

Decision Read

Model leaned challenge

39% overturn probability and +2.03% expected value at challenge time.