Game 824297

Miami Marlins at Detroit Tigers

Comerica Park

Apr 10, 6:40 PM EDT

Final

Status: Complete

MIA

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DET

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Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
MIA	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	Challenges remaining: 0
DET	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	—	2	8	0	Challenges remaining: 2

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

DET

MIA

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

DET1MIA4

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

DET100%MIA50%

100%

50%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

DET0%MIA0%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

5 reviewed pitches so far • 3 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs LHB

75%

4 reviews

ELI 46.8

RHP vs RHB

1 review

ELI 57.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Changeup

3 reviews • 100% overturned

Most Active Lane

Bot-L

3 reviews • 100% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Top1 • Miami Marlins

Agustín Ramírez challenged (pitch result), call on the field was confirmed: Agustín Ramírez called out on strikes.

Medium Pressure • ELI 50

Confirmed -18

Count Shift

Strikeout

Base / Score

Runner on 3rd • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.77% EV

Scenario Swing Index-18

RISPLess Than 2 OutsTie Game

Bot1 • Detroit Tigers

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 46

Overturned +21

Count Shift

1-2 → 2-1

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

+17.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.59% EV

Scenario Swing Index+21

Less Than 2 OutsTie Game

OVR 3%EV -0.59%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +17.5 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot1 • Miami Marlins

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 50

Overturned +23

Count Shift

1-0 → 0-1

Base / Score

Runner on 3rd • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

-1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.45% EV

Scenario Swing Index+23

RISPLess Than 2 OutsTie Game

OVR 63%EV -0.45%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot5 • Miami Marlins

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 42

Overturned +19

Count Shift

2-0 → 1-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 0-2

Count Edge

-1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.07% EV

Scenario Swing Index+19

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 63%EV +0.07%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top6 • Miami Marlins

Jakob Marsee challenged (pitch result), call on the field was confirmed: Jakob Marsee called out on strikes.

Medium Pressure • ELI 42

Confirmed -15

Count Shift

Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 0-2

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.22% EV

Scenario Swing Index-15

Less Than 2 Outs

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Agustín Ramírez vs Keider Montero

Count Transition

Strikeout

Result

Call Confirmed

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Runner on 3rd

Top 1 • Tie 0-0 • 1 out

Away offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Sinker

Velocity

95.1 MPH

Location

0.15 x, 1.74 z

Umpire Count

Strikeout

Baseball Consequence

Review confirmed the call and kept the plate appearance at Strikeout.

The review did not create a new state; Strikeout situations typically carry +0.00% of win expectancy from this baseline.

Decision Read

Model leaned hold

3% overturn probability and -0.77% expected value at challenge time.