Game 824347

Chicago Cubs at Colorado Rockies

Coors Field

Jun 9, 8:40 PM EDT

Final

Status: Complete

CHC

123456789001002000

COL

12345678923200000—

Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
CHC	0	0	1	0	0	2	0	0	0	3	8	0	Challenges remaining: 0
COL	2	3	2	0	0	0	0	0	—	7	12	0	Challenges remaining: 1

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

COL

CHC

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

COL2CHC5

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

COL50%CHC60%

50%

60%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

COL0%CHC0%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

7 reviewed pitches so far • 4 overturned

Highest Risk Split

LHP vs LHB

RHP vs LHB

67%

3 reviews

ELI 46.7

LHP vs LHB

100%

2 reviews

ELI 44.0

RHP vs RHB

1 review

ELI 24.0

RHP vs SHB

1 review

ELI 52.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

3 reviews • 33% overturned

Most Active Lane

Top-L

3 reviews • 33% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Top1 • Chicago Cubs

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 50

Overturned +23

Count Shift

1-1 → 2-0

Base / Score

Bases Empty • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

+1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.05% EV

Scenario Swing Index+23

Less Than 2 OutsTie Game

OVR 39%EV -0.05%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top3 • Colorado Rockies

Ball

Low Pressure • ELI 24

Confirmed -8

Count Shift

2-0

Base / Score

Runner on 2nd • 0-5

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.59% EV

Scenario Swing Index-8

RISPLess Than 2 Outs

OVR 63%EV +0.59%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot5 • Chicago Cubs

Cubs challenged (pitch result), call on the field was overturned: Edouard Julien called out on strikes.

Low Pressure • ELI 39

Overturned +18

Count Shift

3-2 → Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 1-7

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.04% EV

Scenario Swing Index+18

Two Outs

Top7 • Colorado Rockies

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 42

Overturned +19

Count Shift

2-1 → 1-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 3-7

Count Edge

-17.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.35% EV

Scenario Swing Index+19

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 44%EV -0.35%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -17.5 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top8 • Chicago Cubs

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 45

Overturned +20

Count Shift

Strikeout → 2-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 3-7

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.11% EV

Scenario Swing Index+20

Less Than 2 Outs

Top8 • Chicago Cubs

Michael Busch challenged (pitch result), call on the field was confirmed: Michael Busch called out on strikes.

Low Pressure • ELI 38

Confirmed -13

Count Shift

Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 3-7

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.52% EV

Scenario Swing Index-13

Less Than 2 Outs

Top8 • Chicago Cubs

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 52

Confirmed -18

Count Shift

3-2

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 3-7

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.51% EV

Scenario Swing Index-18

Two Outs

OVR 67%EV +0.51%HIGH RE confidenceMEDIUM OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Michael Busch vs Tomoyuki Sugano

Count Transition

1-1 → 2-0

Result

Call Overturned

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Bases Empty

Top 1 • Tie 0-0 • 1 out

Away offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Cutter

Velocity

88.5 MPH

Location

-0.55 x, 3.39 z

Umpire Count

1-1

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from 1-1 to 2-0.

Comparable game states move win expectancy by +1.12% from the corrected review state.

Decision Read

Model leaned hold

39% overturn probability and -0.05% expected value at challenge time.