Game 824357

Texas Rangers at Colorado Rockies

Coors Field

May 18, 8:40 PM EDT

Final

Status: Complete

TEX

123456789010011030

COL

12345678920220100—

Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
TEX	0	1	0	0	1	1	0	3	0	6	10	2	Challenges remaining: 1
COL	2	0	2	2	0	1	0	0	—	7	7	0	Challenges remaining: 0

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

COL

TEX

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

COL5TEX2

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

COL60%TEX50%

60%

50%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

COL0%TEX50%

50%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

7 reviewed pitches so far • 4 overturned

Highest Risk Split

LHP vs LHB

RHP vs RHB

50%

2 reviews

ELI 48.0

LHP vs LHB

100%

1 review

ELI 46.0

RHP vs SHB

100%

1 review

ELI 34.0

LHP vs RHB

100%

1 review

ELI 50.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

2 reviews • 100% overturned

Most Active Lane

Bot-R

3 reviews • 33% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Bot1 • Colorado Rockies

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 46

Overturned +21

Count Shift

2-1 → 3-0

Base / Score

Bases Loaded • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

+61.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.49% EV

Scenario Swing Index+21

RISPLess Than 2 OutsTie GameBases Loaded

OVR 39%EV -0.49%LOW RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +5.9 ptsBB +90.1 pts

Top2 • Colorado Rockies

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 58

Confirmed -20

Count Shift

1-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 1-2

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.30% EV

Scenario Swing Index-20

Two Outs

OVR 44%EV -0.30%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot3 • Colorado Rockies

Ezequiel Tovar challenged (pitch result), call on the field was overturned: Ezequiel Tovar walks. Hunter Goodman to 2nd.

Medium Pressure • ELI 46

Overturned +21

Count Shift

3-2 → Walk

Base / Score

1st and 2nd • 1-2

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean hold • -1.24% EV

Scenario Swing Index+21

RISPLess Than 2 Outs

Bot6 • Colorado Rockies

Ball

Low Pressure • ELI 34

Overturned +15

Count Shift

0-1 → 1-0

Base / Score

Runner on 2nd • 3-7

Count Edge

+1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.92% EV

Scenario Swing Index+15

RISPLess Than 2 Outs

OVR 3%EV -0.92%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top7 • Texas Rangers

Joc Pederson challenged (pitch result), call on the field was confirmed: Joc Pederson called out on strikes.

Medium Pressure • ELI 42

Confirmed -15

Count Shift

Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 3-7

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.38% EV

Scenario Swing Index-15

Less Than 2 Outs

Top8 • Colorado Rockies

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 45

Confirmed -16

Count Shift

2-2

Base / Score

1st and 2nd • 3-7

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.18% EV

Scenario Swing Index-16

RISPLess Than 2 Outs

OVR 44%EV +0.18%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top8 • Texas Rangers

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 50

Overturned +23

Count Shift

1-2 → 2-1

Base / Score

Bases Loaded • 5-7

Count Edge

+17.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -7.44% EV

Scenario Swing Index+23

RISPLess Than 2 OutsLate & CloseBases Loaded

OVR 39%EV -7.44%MEDIUM RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +17.5 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

TJ Rumfield vs MacKenzie Gore

Count Transition

2-1 → 3-0

Result

Call Overturned

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Bases Loaded

Bot 1 • Tie 0-0 • 0 outs

Home offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Slider

Velocity

84.7 MPH

Location

-0.86 x, 1.63 z

Umpire Count

2-1

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from 2-1 to 3-0.

Comparable game states move win expectancy by +0.00% from the corrected review state.

Decision Read

Model leaned hold

39% overturn probability and -0.49% expected value at challenge time.