Bot3 • Cleveland Guardians
Called Strike
Medium Pressure • ELI 40
Count Shift
1-2
Base / Score
Runner on 2nd • 3-1
Count Edge
+0.0 pts
Decision Read
Lean hold • -0.48% EV
Game 824428
Progressive Field
Jun 10, 1:10 PM EDT
A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.
Team vs Team Outcome Recap
Total Reviews
Raw challenge volume from the completed game.
Overturn Rate
Which club actually won more of its review bets.
Late / Close Share
How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.
Tonight's Review Pattern
5 reviewed pitches so far • 3 overturned
Highest Risk Split
LHP vs LHB
LHP vs RHB
50%
4 reviews
ELI 43.8
LHP vs LHB
100%
1 review
ELI 63.0
Most Targeted Pitch
Cutter
2 reviews • 50% overturned
Most Active Lane
Top-R
3 reviews • 67% overturned
Scenario Timeline
Bot3 • Cleveland Guardians
Medium Pressure • ELI 40
Count Shift
1-2
Base / Score
Runner on 2nd • 3-1
Count Edge
+0.0 pts
Decision Read
Lean hold • -0.48% EV
Top6 • New York Yankees
Medium Pressure • ELI 63
Count Shift
Strikeout → 2-2
Base / Score
Runner on 3rd • Tie 3-3
Count Edge
No baseline delta
Decision Read
Lean hold • -0.96% EV
Bot8 • New York Yankees
Medium Pressure • ELI 42
Count Shift
2-0
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 8-3
Count Edge
+0.0 pts
Decision Read
Lean challenge • +1.02% EV
Top9 • New York Yankees
Medium Pressure • ELI 44
Count Shift
2-1 → 3-0
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 8-3
Count Edge
+61.0 pts
Decision Read
Lean hold • -0.27% EV
Bot9 • Cleveland Guardians
Medium Pressure • ELI 44
Count Shift
3-2 → Walk
Base / Score
Runner on 1st • 8-3
Count Edge
No baseline delta
Decision Read
Lean hold • -0.24% EV
Pitch Timeline
Mapping Decisions
Challenge Brief
Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.
Focus
Rhys Hoskins vs Carlos Rodón
Count Transition
1-2
Result
Call Confirmed
Recorded Challenge
Game State
Runner on 2nd
Bot 3 • 3-1 • 1 out
Home offense batting
Estimated Leverage
40
Pitch
Changeup
Velocity
85.0 MPH
Location
0.54 x, 3.31 z
Umpire Count
1-2
Baseball Consequence
Review confirmed the call and kept the plate appearance at 1-2.
The review did not create a new state; 1-2 situations typically carry +0.00% of win expectancy from this baseline.
Decision Read
Model leaned hold
39% overturn probability and -0.48% expected value at challenge time.