Game 824430

Boston Red Sox at Cleveland Guardians

Progressive Field

May 31, 1:40 PM EDT

Final

Status: Complete

BOS

123456789100020600

CLE

123456789020020000

Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
BOS	1	0	0	0	2	0	6	0	0	9	12	1	Challenges remaining: 0
CLE	0	2	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	4	11	0	Challenges remaining: 0

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

CLE

BOS

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

CLE2BOS6

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

CLE0%BOS67%

67%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

CLE0%BOS0%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

8 reviewed pitches so far • 4 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs RHB

100%

4 reviews

ELI 48.5

LHP vs RHB

2 reviews

ELI 66.0

RHP vs SHB

1 review

ELI 46.0

LHP vs SHB

1 review

ELI 57.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Sinker

3 reviews • 100% overturned

Most Active Lane

Bot-R

3 reviews • 67% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Top2 • Boston Red Sox

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 42

Overturned +19

Count Shift

0-2 → 1-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 1-0

Count Edge

+17.1 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +1.46% EV

Scenario Swing Index+19

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 39%EV +1.46%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +17.7 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top3 • Boston Red Sox

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 46

Confirmed -16

Count Shift

2-2

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 1-2

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.85% EV

Scenario Swing Index-16

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 3%EV -0.85%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top5 • Boston Red Sox

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 48

Overturned +22

Count Shift

0-2 → 1-1

Base / Score

2nd and 3rd • 1-2

Count Edge

+17.1 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -1.42% EV

Scenario Swing Index+22

RISPLess Than 2 Outs

OVR 3%EV -1.42%MEDIUM RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +17.7 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top5 • Boston Red Sox

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 55

Overturned +25

Count Shift

Strikeout → 1-2

Base / Score

2nd and 3rd • 1-2

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean hold • -1.18% EV

Scenario Swing Index+25

RISPLess Than 2 Outs

Bot5 • Cleveland Guardians

Stuart Fairchild challenged (pitch result), call on the field was confirmed: Stuart Fairchild called out on strikes.

Medium Pressure • ELI 57

Confirmed -20

Count Shift

Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 3-4

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.17% EV

Scenario Swing Index-20

Two OutsFull Count

Bot6 • Cleveland Guardians

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 57

Confirmed -20

Count Shift

1-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 3-4

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.48% EV

Scenario Swing Index-20

Two Outs

OVR 39%EV -0.48%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot8 • Boston Red Sox

Carlos Narváez challenged (pitch result), call on the field was overturned: Austin Hedges called out on strikes.

Medium Pressure • ELI 42

Overturned +19

Count Shift

2-2 → Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 9-4

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.31% EV

Scenario Swing Index+19

Less Than 2 Outs

Top9 • Boston Red Sox

Caleb Durbin challenged (pitch result), call on the field was confirmed: Caleb Durbin called out on strikes.

Medium Pressure • ELI 53

Confirmed -19

Count Shift

Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 9-4

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.24% EV

Scenario Swing Index-19

Two OutsFull Count

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Caleb Durbin vs Tanner Bibee

Count Transition

0-2 → 1-1

Result

Call Overturned

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Bases Empty

Top 2 • 1-0 • 0 outs

Away offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Sinker

Velocity

94.6 MPH

Location

0.90 x, 1.71 z

Umpire Count

0-2

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from 0-2 to 1-1.

Comparable game states move win expectancy by +5.03% from the corrected review state.

Decision Read

Model leaned challenge

39% overturn probability and +1.46% expected value at challenge time.