Game 824433

Boston Red Sox at Cleveland Guardians

Progressive Field

May 29, 7:10 PM EDT

Final

Status: Complete

BOS

123456789000030000

CLE

12345678940000000—

Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
BOS	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	3	11	1	Challenges remaining: 1
CLE	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	4	10	1	Challenges remaining: 1

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

CLE

BOS

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

CLE3BOS2

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

CLE67%BOS50%

67%

50%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

CLE67%BOS0%

67%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

5 reviewed pitches so far • 3 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs LHB

RHP vs RHB

33%

3 reviews

ELI 66.0

RHP vs LHB

100%

1 review

ELI 57.0

RHP vs SHB

100%

1 review

ELI 57.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Sinker

3 reviews • 67% overturned

Most Active Lane

Top-L

2 reviews • 50% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Top5 • Cleveland Guardians

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 57

Overturned +26

Count Shift

1-0 → 0-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 3-4

Count Edge

-1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.85% EV

Scenario Swing Index+26

Two Outs

OVR 44%EV -0.85%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top6 • Boston Red Sox

Willson Contreras challenged (pitch result), call on the field was confirmed: Willson Contreras called out on strikes.

Medium Pressure • ELI 48

Confirmed -17

Count Shift

Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 3-4

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.50% EV

Scenario Swing Index-17

Less Than 2 OutsFull Count

Bot6 • Boston Red Sox

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 57

Overturned +26

Count Shift

2-1 → 1-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 3-4

Count Edge

-17.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.03% EV

Scenario Swing Index+26

Two Outs

OVR 63%EV -0.03%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -17.5 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top9 • Cleveland Guardians

Patrick Bailey challenged (pitch result), call on the field was overturned: Caleb Durbin called out on strikes.

High Pressure • ELI 66

Overturned +30

Count Shift

2-2 → Strikeout

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 3-4

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +1.02% EV

Scenario Swing Index+30

Less Than 2 OutsLate & Close

Top9 • Cleveland Guardians

Ball

High Pressure • ELI 66

Confirmed -23

Count Shift

1-0

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 3-4

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.01% EV

Scenario Swing Index-23

Less Than 2 OutsLate & Close

OVR 98%EV -0.01%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Wilyer Abreu vs Colin Holderman

Count Transition

1-0 → 0-1

Result

Call Overturned

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Bases Empty

Top 5 • 3-4 • 2 outs

Away offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Sinker

Velocity

96.1 MPH

Location

-0.82 x, 3.08 z

Umpire Count

1-0

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from 1-0 to 0-1.

Comparable game states move win expectancy by -0.79% from the corrected review state.

Decision Read

Model leaned hold

44% overturn probability and -0.85% expected value at challenge time.