Game 824434

Washington Nationals at Cleveland Guardians

Progressive Field

May 26, 6:10 PM EDT

Final

Status: Complete

WSH

123456789040000002

CLE

123456789000010002

Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E	ABS
WSH	0	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	6	11	0	Challenges remaining: 2
CLE	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	2	3	8	0	Challenges remaining: 0

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

CLE

WSH

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

CLE4WSH4

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

CLE50%WSH100%

50%

100%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

CLE0%WSH0%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

8 reviewed pitches so far • 6 overturned

Highest Risk Split

LHP vs LHB

100%

3 reviews

ELI 55.7

LHP vs RHB

50%

2 reviews

ELI 53.0

RHP vs RHB

100%

1 review

ELI 36.0

LHP vs SHB

100%

1 review

ELI 60.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Curveball

3 reviews • 67% overturned

Most Active Lane

Bot-R

3 reviews • 67% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Top1 • Cleveland Guardians

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 46

Overturned +21

Count Shift

1-1 → 0-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

-17.1 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +1.41% EV

Scenario Swing Index+21

Less Than 2 OutsTie Game

OVR 98%EV +1.41%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -17.7 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top1 • Washington Nationals

CJ Abrams challenged (pitch result), call on the field was overturned: CJ Abrams walks.

Medium Pressure • ELI 55

Overturned +25

Count Shift

Strikeout → Walk

Base / Score

1st and 2nd • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.38% EV

Scenario Swing Index+25

RISPTwo OutsTie GameFull Count

Top1 • Washington Nationals

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 55

Overturned +25

Count Shift

0-1 → 1-0

Base / Score

1st and 2nd • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

+1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.31% EV

Scenario Swing Index+25

RISPTwo OutsTie Game

OVR 67%EV +0.31%HIGH RE confidenceMEDIUM OVR confidenceAVG +1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top1 • Cleveland Guardians

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 55

Overturned +25

Count Shift

3-1 → 2-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

-53.7 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.77% EV

Scenario Swing Index+25

Two OutsTie Game

OVR 63%EV +0.77%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -17.4 ptsBB -55.6 pts

Bot1 • Cleveland Guardians

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 50

Confirmed -18

Count Shift

0-2

Base / Score

Runner on 3rd • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.49% EV

Scenario Swing Index-18

RISPLess Than 2 OutsTie Game

OVR 39%EV -0.49%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top6 • Washington Nationals

Ball

Low Pressure • ELI 36

Overturned +16

Count Shift

1-1 → 2-0

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 4-1

Count Edge

+1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.57% EV

Scenario Swing Index+16

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 3%EV -0.57%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot7 • Cleveland Guardians

David Fry challenged (pitch result), call on the field was confirmed: David Fry called out on strikes.

Medium Pressure • ELI 44

Confirmed -15

Count Shift

Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 4-1

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.47% EV

Scenario Swing Index-15

Less Than 2 Outs

Bot8 • Washington Nationals

Keibert Ruiz challenged (pitch result), call on the field was overturned: Angel Martínez called out on strikes.

Medium Pressure • ELI 53

Overturned +24

Count Shift

1-2 → Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 4-1

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.56% EV

Scenario Swing Index+24

Two Outs

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

James Wood vs Joey Cantillo

Count Transition

1-1 → 0-2

Result

Call Overturned

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Bases Empty

Top 1 • Tie 0-0 • 0 outs

Away offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Curveball

Velocity

79.0 MPH

Location

-0.57 x, 3.25 z

Umpire Count

1-1

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from 1-1 to 0-2.

Comparable game states move win expectancy by +1.46% from the corrected review state.

Decision Read

Model leaned challenge

98% overturn probability and +1.41% expected value at challenge time.