Skip to main content
ABS Observatory
Live FeedUmpire StatsTeam StatsArticlesAbout
Sign In

Game 824511

Kansas City Royals at Cincinnati Reds

Great American Ball Park

Jun 2, 7:10 PM EDT

Kansas City Royals Logo
Cincinnati Reds Logo
Final
Status: Complete
Kansas City Royals Logo
KC

R

3

H

5

E

0

123456789100003000000
Challenges remaining: 0
Cincinnati Reds Logo
CIN

R

4

H

4

E

0

123456789100000100111
Challenges remaining: 1
Matchup12345678910RHEABS
Kansas City Royals Logo
KC
0003000000350
Challenges remaining: 0
Cincinnati Reds Logo
CIN
0000100111440
Challenges remaining: 1

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

CIN
KC

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

CIN1KC4
1
4

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

CIN0%KC50%
0%
50%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

CIN100%KC50%
100%
50%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

5 reviewed pitches so far • 2 overturned

Highest Risk Split

LHP vs RHB

LHP vs RHB

100%

1 review

ELI 62.0

LHP vs SHB

100%

1 review

ELI 42.0

RHP vs LHB

0%

1 review

ELI 71.0

LHP vs LHB

0%

1 review

ELI 70.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Sinker

2 reviews • 0% overturned

Most Active Lane

Top-R

2 reviews • 50% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Bot2 • Kansas City Royals

Salvador Perez challenged (pitch result), call on the field was overturned: Tyler Stephenson called out on strikes.

Medium Pressure • ELI 55

Overturned +25

Count Shift

2-2 → Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.29% EV

Scenario Swing Index+25
Two OutsTie Game

Bot6 • Kansas City Royals

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 42

Overturned +19

Count Shift

1-0 → 0-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 3-1

Count Edge

-1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.77% EV

Scenario Swing Index+19
Less Than 2 Outs
OVR 63%EV +0.77%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top9 • Kansas City Royals

Called Strike

High Pressure • ELI 71

Confirmed -25

Count Shift

1-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 3-2

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.19% EV

Scenario Swing Index-25
Two OutsLate & Close
OVR 67%EV -0.19%HIGH RE confidenceMEDIUM OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top10 • Kansas City Royals

Called Strike

High Pressure • ELI 70

Confirmed -25

Count Shift

0-1

Base / Score

1st and 3rd • Tie 3-3

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.61% EV

Scenario Swing Index-25
RISPLess Than 2 OutsLate & CloseTie Game
OVR 39%EV -0.61%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot10 • Cincinnati Reds

Called Strike

High Pressure • ELI 66

Confirmed -23

Count Shift

1-1

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 3-4

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.38% EV

Scenario Swing Index-23
Less Than 2 OutsLate & Close
OVR 39%EV +0.38%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Zone Mode
K2-2CurveballKCFMCFMCFM

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)
Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)
ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)
Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Tyler Stephenson vs Noah Cameron

Count Transition

2-2 → Strikeout

Result

Call Overturned

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Bases Empty

Bot 2 • Tie 0-0 • 2 outs

Home offense batting

Estimated Leverage

55

Pitch

Curveball

Velocity

83.7 MPH

Location

0.83 x, 1.92 z

Umpire Count

2-2

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from 2-2 to Strikeout.

Comparable game states move win expectancy by +0.87% from the corrected review state.

Decision Read

Model leaned hold

44% overturn probability and -0.29% expected value at challenge time.