Game 824511

Kansas City Royals at Cincinnati Reds

Great American Ball Park

Jun 2, 7:10 PM EDT

Final

Status: Complete

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CIN

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Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H	E	ABS
KC	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	5	0	Challenges remaining: 0
CIN	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	1	1	4	4	0	Challenges remaining: 1

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

CIN

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

CIN1KC4

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

CIN0%KC50%

50%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

CIN100%KC50%

100%

50%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

5 reviewed pitches so far • 2 overturned

Highest Risk Split

LHP vs RHB

100%

1 review

ELI 62.0

LHP vs SHB

100%

1 review

ELI 42.0

RHP vs LHB

1 review

ELI 71.0

LHP vs LHB

1 review

ELI 70.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Sinker

2 reviews • 0% overturned

Most Active Lane

Top-R

2 reviews • 50% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Bot2 • Kansas City Royals

Salvador Perez challenged (pitch result), call on the field was overturned: Tyler Stephenson called out on strikes.

Medium Pressure • ELI 55

Overturned +25

Count Shift

2-2 → Strikeout

Base / Score

Bases Empty • Tie 0-0

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.29% EV

Scenario Swing Index+25

Two OutsTie Game

Bot6 • Kansas City Royals

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 42

Overturned +19

Count Shift

1-0 → 0-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 3-1

Count Edge

-1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.77% EV

Scenario Swing Index+19

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 63%EV +0.77%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top9 • Kansas City Royals

Called Strike

High Pressure • ELI 71

Confirmed -25

Count Shift

1-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 3-2

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.19% EV

Scenario Swing Index-25

Two OutsLate & Close

OVR 67%EV -0.19%HIGH RE confidenceMEDIUM OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Top10 • Kansas City Royals

Called Strike

High Pressure • ELI 70

Confirmed -25

Count Shift

0-1

Base / Score

1st and 3rd • Tie 3-3

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.61% EV

Scenario Swing Index-25

RISPLess Than 2 OutsLate & CloseTie Game

OVR 39%EV -0.61%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot10 • Cincinnati Reds

Called Strike

High Pressure • ELI 66

Confirmed -23

Count Shift

1-1

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 3-4

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +0.38% EV

Scenario Swing Index-23

Less Than 2 OutsLate & Close

OVR 39%EV +0.38%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Tyler Stephenson vs Noah Cameron

Count Transition

2-2 → Strikeout

Result

Call Overturned

Recorded Challenge

Game State

Bases Empty

Bot 2 • Tie 0-0 • 2 outs

Home offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Curveball

Velocity

83.7 MPH

Location

0.83 x, 1.92 z

Umpire Count

2-2

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from 2-2 to Strikeout.

Comparable game states move win expectancy by +0.87% from the corrected review state.

Decision Read

Model leaned hold

44% overturn probability and -0.29% expected value at challenge time.