Game 824516

St. Louis Cardinals at Cincinnati Reds

Great American Ball Park

May 23, 7:15 PM EDT

Final

Status: Complete

STL

123456789101101000300200

CIN

123456789101100005100001

Matchup	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	R	H	E	ABS
STL	0	1	0	0	0	3	0	0	2	0	0	6	9	0	Challenges remaining: 2
CIN	0	0	0	0	5	1	0	0	0	0	1	7	10	0	Challenges remaining: 0

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

CIN

STL

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

CIN4STL1

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

CIN50%STL100%

50%

100%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

CIN25%STL0%

25%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

5 reviewed pitches so far • 3 overturned

Highest Risk Split

RHP vs LHB

RHP vs RHB

67%

3 reviews

ELI 52.7

RHP vs LHB

100%

1 review

ELI 46.0

LHP vs LHB

1 review

ELI 48.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Sinker

2 reviews • 100% overturned

Most Active Lane

Bot-L

2 reviews • 50% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Top2 • Cincinnati Reds

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 46

Overturned +21

Count Shift

1-0 → 0-1

Base / Score

1st and 2nd • 1-0

Count Edge

-1.9 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.02% EV

Scenario Swing Index+21

RISPLess Than 2 Outs

OVR 98%EV -0.02%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -1.8 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot4 • St. Louis Cardinals

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 46

Overturned +21

Count Shift

1-1 → 0-2

Base / Score

2nd and 3rd • 1-0

Count Edge

-17.1 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.34% EV

Scenario Swing Index+21

RISPLess Than 2 Outs

OVR 63%EV -0.34%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG -17.7 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot5 • Cincinnati Reds

Sal Stewart challenged (pitch result), call on the field was overturned: Sal Stewart walks.

Medium Pressure • ELI 51

Overturned +23

Count Shift

Strikeout → Walk

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 1-3

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Lean hold • -0.69% EV

Scenario Swing Index+23

Two OutsFull Count

Top6 • Cincinnati Reds

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 48

Confirmed -17

Count Shift

1-0

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 4-5

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean challenge • +1.11% EV

Scenario Swing Index-17

Less Than 2 Outs

OVR 44%EV +1.11%HIGH RE confidenceHIGH OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Bot7 • Cincinnati Reds

Called Strike

Medium Pressure • ELI 50

Confirmed -18

Count Shift

0-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 4-6

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Lean hold • -1.90% EV

Scenario Swing Index-18

Less Than 2 OutsLate & Close

OVR 67%EV -1.90%HIGH RE confidenceMEDIUM OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Pitch TypeBatterPitcher

Count MapPitch Info

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)

Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)

ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)

Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Bryan Torres vs Chase Petty

Count Transition

1-0 → 0-1

Result

Call Overturned

Recorded Challenge

Game State

1st and 2nd

Top 2 • 1-0 • 1 out

Away offense batting

Estimated Leverage

Pitch

Sinker

Velocity

95.3 MPH

Location

-0.61 x, 2.80 z

Umpire Count

1-0

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from 1-0 to 0-1.

Comparable game states move win expectancy by +0.00% from the corrected review state.

Decision Read

Model leaned hold

98% overturn probability and -0.02% expected value at challenge time.