Bot2 • Cincinnati Reds
Called Strike
Low Pressure • ELI 24
Count Shift
0-1
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 5-0
Count Edge
+0.0 pts
Decision Read
Hold • -0.48% EV
Call was confirmed after review.
Game 824537
Great American Ball Park
Mar 31, 10:40 PM UTC
Medium Pressure through inning 7
Away leads • Count 2-1 • 2 outs
Challenge Now?
Bot 7 • Bases Empty • 6-1
2-1 • MEDIUM
Next Ball Path
3-1
0% overturn
Next Strike Path
2-2
0% overturn
Current Run State
0.112
Current decision backdrop
Largest Available Review Swing
Called strike overturned to 3-1
Run Swing
+0.033
Review is not advised from the current path. Estimated decision value: +0.00%.
Team vs Team Challenge Split
Reviews Used
How aggressively each club has entered the ABS game so far.
Overturn Rate
Who has turned reviews into wins more often tonight.
One club has a trusted modeled read here while the other side is still below confidence threshold, so compare the available value carefully.
Average Leverage
Whether those reviews have come in louder spots or quieter ones.
One club has a trusted modeled read here while the other side is still below confidence threshold, so compare the available value carefully.
Scenario Timeline
Bot2 • Cincinnati Reds
Low Pressure • ELI 24
Count Shift
0-1
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 5-0
Count Edge
+0.0 pts
Decision Read
Hold • -0.48% EV
Call was confirmed after review.
Bot6 • Cincinnati Reds
Low Pressure • ELI 39
Count Shift
Strikeout
Base / Score
Bases Empty • 6-1
Count Edge
No baseline delta
Decision Read
Challenge • +0.59% EV
Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.
Tonight's Review Pattern
2 reviewed pitches so far • 0 overturned
Highest Risk Split
LHP vs RHB
LHP vs RHB
0%
1 review
ELI 39.0
RHP vs RHB
0%
1 review
ELI 24.0
Most Targeted Pitch
Four-Seam Fastball
2 reviews • 0% overturned
Most Active Lane
Bot-M
1 reviews • 0% overturned
Mapping Decisions
Challenge Brief
Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.
Focus
Dane Myers vs Hunter Barco
Count Transition
Strikeout
Result
Call Confirmed
Recorded Challenge
Game State
Bases Empty
Bot 6 • 6-1 • 2 outs
Home offense batting
Estimated Leverage
39
Pitch
Four-Seam Fastball
Velocity
95.7 MPH
Location
-0.19 x, 1.90 z
Count Before
Strikeout
Baseball Consequence
Review held the count at Strikeout.
Comparable game states move run expectancy by +0.000 from this review state.
Decision Read
Model favored a challenge
53% overturn probability and +0.59% expected value at challenge time.