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Game 824540

Boston Red Sox at Cincinnati Reds

Great American Ball Park

Mar 28, 8:10 PM UTC

Boston Red Sox Logo
Cincinnati Reds Logo
Final
Status: Complete
Matchup1234567891011RHEABS
Boston Red Sox Logo
BOS
00120010100581
Challenges remaining: 0
Cincinnati Reds Logo
CIN
211010000016100
Challenges remaining: 2

Postgame Review

ABS Game Story

A chart-first postgame recap of which club handled the challenge game better, where the biggest swings landed, and what the umpire looked like by final out.

Debrief generated Mar 29, 8:51 PM

Postgame Matchup Lens

Team vs Team Outcome Recap

CIN
BOS

Total Reviews

Raw challenge volume from the completed game.

CIN5BOS3
5
3

Overturn Rate

Which club actually won more of its review bets.

CIN100%BOS33%
100%
33%

Late / Close Share

How much of each team’s review activity came in the game’s tightest windows.

CIN40%BOS0%
40%
0%

Umpire Tonight

Tonight's Review Pattern

8 reviewed pitches so far • 6 overturned

Highest Risk Split

LHP vs SHB

RHP vs LHB

75%

4 reviews

ELI 46.3

RHP vs RHB

67%

3 reviews

ELI 53.0

LHP vs SHB

100%

1 review

ELI 51.0

Most Targeted Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

4 reviews • 100% overturned

Most Active Lane

Bot-R

4 reviews • 75% overturned

Challenge Decision Value

Scenario Timeline

Bot2 • Boston Red Sox

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 43

Confirmed -15

Count Shift

2-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 0-2

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Hold • +0.14% EV

Scenario Swing Index-15
Less Than 2 Outs
OVR 45%EV +0.14%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Call was confirmed after review.

Top3 • Boston Red Sox

Ball

Low Pressure • ELI 30

Overturned +22

Count Shift

2-2 → 3-1

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 0-3

Count Edge

+27.7 pts

Decision Read

Hold • -2.05% EV

Scenario Swing Index+22
Less Than 2 Outs
OVR 45%EV -2.05%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +4.0 ptsBB +27.8 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Top3 • Boston Red Sox

Called Strike

Low Pressure • ELI 35

Confirmed -12

Count Shift

3-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 0-3

Count Edge

+0.0 pts

Decision Read

Challenge • +0.25% EV

Scenario Swing Index-12
Less Than 2 Outs
OVR 53%EV +0.25%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG +0.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

Call was confirmed after review.

Bot6 • Cincinnati Reds

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 51

Overturned +37

Count Shift

1-1 → 2-0

Base / Score

1st and 2nd • 3-5

Count Edge

-0.9 pts

Decision Read

Hold • -0.31% EV

Scenario Swing Index+37
RISPTwo Outs
OVR 45%EV -0.31%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG -1.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Bot6 • Cincinnati Reds

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 58

Overturned +42

Count Shift

Strikeout → 2-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 3-5

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Challenge • +0.42% EV

Scenario Swing Index+42
Two Outs

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Bot6 • Cincinnati Reds

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 58

Overturned +42

Count Shift

Strikeout → 3-2

Base / Score

Bases Empty • 3-5

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Challenge • +0.42% EV

Scenario Swing Index+42
Two Outs

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Bot7 • Cincinnati Reds

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 60

Overturned +43

Count Shift

1-1 → 2-0

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 4-5

Count Edge

-0.9 pts

Decision Read

Challenge • +0.54% EV

Scenario Swing Index+43
Less Than 2 OutsLate & Close
OVR 45%EV +0.54%HIGH RE confidenceLOW OVR confidenceAVG -1.0 ptsBB +0.0 pts

The overturned call changed the count before the plate appearance finished.

Bot7 • Cincinnati Reds

Ball

Medium Pressure • ELI 60

Overturned +43

Count Shift

3-1 → Walk

Base / Score

Runner on 1st • 4-5

Count Edge

No baseline delta

Decision Read

Challenge • +0.52% EV

Scenario Swing Index+43
Less Than 2 OutsLate & Close

Review happened at the at-bat level without a tracked pitch event.

Narrative Intelligence

Game Debrief

Narrative readout of how the review battle unfolded after the charts have established which club actually captured the value.

In a tightly contested matchup at Great American Ball Park, the Cincinnati Reds edged the Boston Red Sox 6-5, with umpire challenges playing a decisive role in shaping the game's narrative. The Reds maximized their efficiency on the replay front, overturning all five of their challenges and controlling key moments, especially late in the game. Boston struggled comparatively, succeeding on only one of their three attempts. Overall, six of eight total challenges were overturned, signaling a game where video review had a clear impact on at-bats and momentum swings.

The most significant influence of the ABS came in the bottom of the seventh inning when Reds hitter Will Benson saw the count favorably adjusted twice following ball calls overturned via replay. These rulings turned counts from 1-1 to 2-0, and later from 3-1 to 4-0, directly enhancing the batter's leverage and contributing to the Reds’ eventual comeback. Earlier, in the bottom of the sixth, Eugenio Suárez also benefited from an overturned ball call, shifting a two-strike count back into a more even count situation. These adjustments highlight how accurate pitch-location data helped correct judgment calls that could have stalled key Reds plate appearances.

Forensic Log

Pitch Timeline

Zone Mode
K1-1Four-Seam FastballKKKCFMKKCFM

Visual Legend

Mapping Decisions

Strike (Corrected)Ball → Strike (Won)
Ball (Corrected)Strike → Ball (Won)
ConfirmedCall Upheld (Lost)
Other OKMisc Overturned

Forensic Insights

Challenge Brief

Focus this rail on the call, the game-state consequence, and the decision read. Deeper model and historical context stay tucked into org view only.

Focus

Will Benson vs Ryan Watson

Count Transition

1-1 → 2-0

Result

Call Overturned

Count Changed

Game State

Runner on 1st

Bot 7 • 4-5 • 1 out

Home offense batting

Estimated Leverage

60

Pitch

Four-Seam Fastball

Velocity

94.8 MPH

Location

0.59 x, 1.59 z

Count Before

1-1

Baseball Consequence

Count changed from 1-1 to 2-0.

Comparable game states move run expectancy by +0.117 from this review state.

Decision Read

Model favored a challenge

45% overturn probability and +0.54% expected value at challenge time.

Though the data supports the notion that the home plate umpire’s ball-zone calls were under scrutiny—six of eight challenges ended with overturns—the pitch tracking includes one inferred coordinate, suggesting a small caveat in measurement precision. Still, the consistent accuracy of the ABS in these scenarios demonstrated its ability to positively influence game flow by providing timely review results. This level of officiating input was pivotal in a game where the Reds’ perfect overturn record contrasts with Boston’s less consistent challenge outcomes, undeniably contributing to a narrow victory margin.

Debrief quality